Jesse Weber and Tracy Walder Break Down FBI Investigation Into Charlie Kirk Assassination at Utah Valley University

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Jesse Weber and Tracy Walder Break Down FBI Investigation Into Charlie Kirk Assassination at Utah Valley University

Jesse Weber examines the FBI's investigation into the targeted killing of Charlie Kirk, co-founder of Turning Point USA, who was shot during a public debate at Utah Valley University. Former FBI and CIA agent Tracy Walder provides expert analysis on the evidence recovered, including a bolt-action rifle, footwear impressions, and palm prints. Weber and Walder discuss the shooter's escape route, the challenges of identifying suspects from video footage, and whether the assassination was the work of a lone gunman or part of a coordinated effort. The investigation continues as law enforcement tracks the movements of a suspect who arrived on campus just minutes before the shooting and successfully evaded capture despite 3,000 witnesses present.

Categories: Analysis
September 11, 2025

The Assassination of Charlie Kirk

The FBI has released a photo of a person of interest in connection with the killing of Charlie Kirk. The conservative influencer was in the middle of debating a member of the public during an outdoor event at Utah Valley University when a single bullet ripped through his neck. Charlie Kirk, the co-founder of Turning Point USA, a friend to some of the most well-positioned people in government, and a controversial online presence with millions of followers, is dead at the age of 31.

This is a dark day for our country. This married father of two is credited with rallying young Republican voters during the 2024 presidential election. He had famous debate-style events at colleges around the country, drawing praise from some and criticism from others. This was his final one. It was during one of those college events on Wednesday that Kirk was shot and killed.

The Shooting at Utah Valley University

Event-goers were lined up in an outdoor area to ask the conservative activist questions about things like gun violence and gender identity. The New York Times reports that 3,000 people had turned out to see Kirk speak as he started another round of college tours, this one called the American Comeback. Kirk was seated underneath a canopy, surrounded by metal barricades with his own personal security nearby.

As seen in videos posted to social media, a member of the public standing just a few feet away was questioning Kirk about recent gun violence in America. The exchange went as follows: "So, do you know how many transgender Americans have been mass shooters over the last 10 years?" Kirk responded, "Too many." The questioner continued, "It's five. Okay. Now, five is a lot, right? I'm going to give you some credit. Do you know how many mass shooters there have been in America over the last 10 years?" Kirk asked, "Counting or not counting gang violence?" At that moment, there was the sound of a single gunshot and Charlie Kirk fell.

The videos online are horrific. A bullet literally tore through Kirk's neck, sending him sprawling to the ground. He was carried to a nearby vehicle and rushed to the hospital just a few miles away, but he was pronounced dead. Utah officials would later say they believe this was a targeted attack: one bullet, one victim.

FBI Press Conference: New Evidence and Timeline

Utah's Commissioner of Public Safety and the FBI special agent in charge of the investigation provided updates Thursday morning about the gunman. Through investigative work, they were able to make several breakthroughs. They tracked the movements of the shooter starting at 11:52 a.m., when the subject arrived on campus. They have tracked his movements onto the campus, through the stairwells, up to the roof, across the roof to a shooting location.

After the shooting, they were able to track his movements as he moved to the other side of the building, jumped off the building, and fled off the campus into a neighborhood. Investigators worked through those neighborhoods, contacting anyone with doorbell cameras and witnesses, thoroughly working through those communities trying to identify any leads. Officials confirmed they have good video footage of this individual but are not releasing it at this time. They are working through technologies and ways to identify this individual. If unsuccessful, they will reach out to the media and push that publicly to help identify them, but they are confident in their abilities right now.

The Murder Weapon and Evidence

The FBI revealed they found the suspected murder weapon. They recovered what they believe is the weapon that was used in the shooting: a high-powered bolt-action rifle. That rifle was recovered in a wooded area where the shooter had fled. The FBI laboratory will be analyzing this weapon. Investigators have also collected footwear impressions, a palm print, and forearm imprints for analysis.

Officials understand there are many questions about motive and assure the public that all leads and tips are being fully investigated. As of Thursday morning, they have received more than 130 tips. The FBI has brought every resource to bear and will continue to do so throughout the course of the investigation. The Wall Street Journal reports that the ammunition used by Charlie Kirk's killer may have been engraved with transgender and anti-fascist ideology. If true, that makes a potential motivation for this killing much more clear.

The Suspect Profile

While officials aren't releasing many details about the shooter's identity, they implied that he was able to blend in with a crowd on a college campus. The public safety commissioner stated the suspect blended in well with a college institution. They are not releasing many details right now, but that individual appears to be of college age. They are confident in their abilities to track that individual if unsuccessful in identifying them immediately.

Expert Analysis with Tracy Walder

Former FBI and CIA agent Tracy Walder provided expert analysis on the investigation. Regarding the police work, Walder noted it was relatively quick work considering the amount of digital evidence. With 3,000 college students who all have phones and videos, plus CCTV all over the school, reviewing that footage takes significant time. What's interesting is that if the shooter arrived at campus at 11:52, this person was not lying in wait all that long. This is someone who knew what was going to take place on campus that day, knew how Charlie spoke, how long he answered questions for, and was really prepared.

The planning appears extensive. The shooter knew where Charlie was going to be positioned and knew exactly where to go. The idea of that roof 200 yards away, setting up a position—that was planned. It doesn't seem someone showed up and tried to figure out where's the best place to go. This feels very quick, very coordinated, and very planned. Walder believes the shooter had probably been on campus before and had scoped out buildings to determine which would be the best and most opportune to take the shot.

Technology and Identification Methods

Regarding identification technology, there are several ways to ID a potential shooter from video footage. There's facial recognition technology, though the quality with CCTV or Ring doorbell cameras may vary. One thing investigators can do is mensuration—determining how tall the individual is and approximately how much they weigh from video footage, even CCTV footage which isn't high quality.

Concerning the weapon, Walder was not surprised a bolt-action rifle was found. That would be the first thing someone in a situation like this would discard. A bolt-action rifle isn't something you can conceal and run around with. Anyone would pick you off if they saw that. Based on the sound, this was probably a rifle of some sort. Walder wasn't at all surprised it was discarded, though she questioned how much evidence they'd get off it. Given the person was very prepared, they probably had gloves on and a hat on, with any hair out of the way. She'd be surprised if it's fruitful in terms of identifying the individual, but it would obviously be used later at a trial.

The Shooter's Capabilities

Regarding the difficulty of the shot, Walder noted that while we want to think this is some kind of trained assassin, the reality is a 200-yard shot with someone familiar with weapons who probably had a scope attached, had been sitting there for a few minutes, got the target in their sights, and got off the shot—this is someone moderately to highly familiar with weapons but not necessarily a trained assassin. If the distance were 600 yards or more, that would suggest a sharpshooter, but 200 yards doesn't require that level of expertise.

Bolt-action rifles are common depending on the area. In Orem, Utah, there is wilderness, hunters, and a culture surrounding guns. The footprint evidence will be photographed and possibly cast to get an actual impression. Once they have it, if it's a common brand like Nike, there are millions of people who own those shoes. That might not help identify the individual immediately but may help convict them if they find the person and the exact shoe. A palm print is not the same as a fingerprint and there may not be a database for that, but investigators may be able to recover DNA from it, and genealogical DNA has been effective in identifying suspects.

The Escape and Investigation Challenges

When officials say the person blended in well with the college institution, that tells Walder this person had every intention of using the college as cover for themselves. This is someone who at least looks like they belong on a college campus—someone 18 to maybe late 20s who wouldn't draw attention to themselves. There could have been a change of clothes afterwards. Someone was seen in all black clothing running away from the rooftop, but this could have been someone who came to the college in plain clothes, not all black, and then changed afterwards to disguise themselves more.

Regarding the 130 tips received, Walder actually thought there would be more—possibly thousands—simply because of the sheer volume of students there, plus the neighborhood with Ring doorbell cameras. The public in this area is probably on high alert and wants to help. She's honestly surprised there aren't more tips. As for why the shooter hasn't been caught, Walder was not surprised. She said the previous day when they reported catching someone—an older white male they had on the ground—she stated on air that she did not believe that was the shooter. She believed it was too quick to capture him and that the shot came from the roof. She is not surprised they haven't caught the individual because this was highly planned, the person absolutely had an egress route, and if the shot came from the roof, it's not going to be someone who could be caught immediately on the ground exiting the scene.

Lone Wolf or Coordinated Attack

When asked whether this was one person acting alone or coordinated with help, Walder thinks there were accomplices, but not in the traditional sense. She believes there are Telegram sub-channels and similar social media platforms where individuals talk about this kind of thing and this kind of violence. She 100% thinks there were individuals in chat rooms assisting this person, goading this person on, wanting them to do it, because that absolutely exists in internet subculture. That's where she thinks the accomplices came from and what ultimately needs to be shut down.

National Reaction and Tributes

People at the event scattered in all directions, screaming, falling over one another, trying to figure out where the shots were coming from and if more bullets would be fired. The shooter was reportedly on the roof of a nearby campus building, the Losi Center, about 150 to 200 yards away from the gathering on the quad. An unverified video posted to social media appears to show a person laying down on top of the building, though law enforcement has not confirmed this video nor said this figure on the roof is the shooter.

The public safety commissioner pointed out the importance of the date—September 11th—and how law enforcement is once again coming together with one goal. Historically on 9/11, law enforcement has come together as a group to recognize and honor those who sacrificed to preserve the ideals of this country, the freedoms of this country. Instead, they find themselves hunting a murderer who chose to violate rights, the rights of an individual within this country.

Makeshift memorials have sprung up on campus. Some people gathered at the state capital in Salt Lake City to remember Charlie Kirk. Others paid tribute at Turning Point USA's headquarters in Arizona. President Donald Trump, who was one of the first people to confirm that Kirk had died, spoke from the Oval Office Wednesday night. He called Charlie a patriot who devoted his life to the cause of open debate and the country that he loved so much, the United States of America. He fought for liberty, democracy, justice, and the American people. Trump called him a martyr for truth and freedom, saying there's never been anyone who was so respected by youth. This is a dark moment for America. Trump announced he is giving Charlie Kirk the Medal of Freedom posthumously.

Tributes poured in on social media. Political adviser Stephen Miller posted that their hearts are shattered, America has lost one of its greatest champions, and a loving family has lost an extraordinary husband and father. FBI director Kash Patel wrote on his personal account, "Rest in peace, my friend. Conservative titan Charlie Kirk." Former President Barack Obama posted that we don't yet know what motivated the person who shot and killed Charlie Kirk, but this kind of despicable violence has no place in our democracy. Michelle and I will be praying for Charlie's family tonight, especially his wife Erika and their two young children.

Misinformation and Persons of Interest

There has been misinformation and misidentification running rampant. Just minutes after the shooting, details started circulating online about an arrest. Images on social media showed an older man being hauled away by multiple people. Soon, officials put out a statement saying this man was not the shooter. He was arrested for obstruction, but he's not the shooter. Hours later, FBI director Kash Patel posted that the subject for the horrific shooting that took the life of Charlie Kirk is now in custody. Not long after, the director clarified that the subject in custody has been released after an interrogation by law enforcement and the investigation continues.

The public safety commissioner pointed out that persons of interest do not deserve to be targeted in person or online. During the investigative process, they located a couple of persons of interest, interviewed those individuals, and after releasing them and clearing them of any suspicion, they faced scrutiny and threats. Officials ask the public to be patient with the investigative process. These individuals were not suspects, they were people of interest, and they don't deserve harassment.

Campus Response and Security Concerns

As people were fleeing the school, armed law enforcement officers were pouring in, going from building to building to help escort people to safety. Just before 9:00 p.m. Eastern time, school officials gave the all clear, saying there is no ongoing threat to the campus. Utah Valley University announced that classes were cancelled and the school will be closed until at least Monday.

Walder expressed concerns about the timeline and the shooter's head start. Her only concern is that this person has quite a few hours of a head start. There is an airport only 45 minutes away, and if they don't have a name on that individual, they could actually be out of the US by this point, and that becomes complicated. She'd say her confidence in catching the shooter is probably 60-65%.

Regarding all the videos and participants, it's difficult to confiscate all cell phones from 3,000 students, especially ones who ran away. The guess is that anyone law enforcement came into contact with, they probably took their phones or asked for their phones. Any video being leaked online, shared online, shared on social media—they're going to find that and they're going to find the person who did that to get that video.

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