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Charlie Kirk is the Founder and President of Turning Point USA, the largest and fastest growing conservative youth activist organization in the country with over 250,000 student members, over 150 full-time staff, and a presence on over 2,000 high school and college campuses nationwide. Charlie is also the Chairman of Students for Trump, which aims to activate one million new college voters on campuses in battleground states in the lead up to the 2020 presidential election. His social media reaches over 100 million people per month and according to Axios, he is one of the "top 10 most engaged" Twitter handles in the world. He is also the host of “The Charlie Kirk Show,” which regularly ranks among the top news shows on Apple podcast charts.
Subscribe on YouTubeCharlie Kirk and Wade Miller Expose Census Fraud: Texas Undercounted by 560,000 While Blue States Inflated Numbers
Charlie Kirk sits down with Wade Miller, senior adviser to the Center for Renewing America, to expose what appears to be systematic fraud in the 2020 Census. While the 2010 census was off by only 36,000 nationwide, Texas alone was undercounted by 560,000 people in 2020, while blue states were massively overcounted. Miller reveals how a secretive algorithm called "differential privacy" scrambles population data in ways that benefit Democrats and hurt rural communities. The implications are staggering: Minnesota gained an electoral vote based on just 26 extra people, illegal aliens are being counted for congressional apportionment, and rural red districts are systematically underrepresented. Miller explains why President Trump's order to republish the census is both constitutional and necessary, and outlines how the administration can fix this corruption.
The Broken State of Texas Redistricting
Charlie Kirk opens the discussion with Wade Miller by examining the situation in Texas, where Republican leadership is attempting to gain five additional congressional seats through redistricting. Governor Abbott has threatened to pursue an additional three seats if Democrats refuse to return to the chamber.
Miller reveals a stunning detail: Texas House Speaker Dustin Burroughs had the redistricting map ready for a vote two weeks prior, with everyone present in the chamber. Instead of holding the vote, he allowed the chamber to adjourn so Democrats could meet with Hakeem Jeffries, knowing they would leave the state to break quorum.
The Republican response has been weak at best. While there have been threats about withholding pay and issuing arrest warrants, Speaker Burroughs said they would not electronically submit Democrat pay for the special session, requiring them to collect it in person. Miller asks the obvious question: why pay them at all? Simple measures like removing parking spots or stripping committee chairmanships have not been implemented.
Governor Abbott has threatened to declare the seats vacant, but he's pursuing this through a court process rather than acting unilaterally. Miller's analysis is clear: Abbott should simply declare the seats vacant based on the empirical evidence that Democrats have abandoned their positions. This would immediately establish quorum and allow the redistricting vote to proceed.
Why Texas Republicans Talk Tough But Act Weak
Kirk asks the question many Texans are wondering: why does Texas political leadership posture as tough while acting so weak? Miller provides insight into the structural problems plaguing Texas politics.
Many current Texas Republican leaders are holdovers from the Bush era. The Texas House Speaker system is fundamentally broken because a speaker can maintain power with just five or six moderate Republicans combined with all the Democrats. This creates a perverse incentive structure where anyone wanting to be speaker can simply appeal to Democrats and a handful of liberal Republicans, leaving conservatives powerless.
As for Governor Abbott specifically, Miller offers a blunt assessment: "If you assume that Greg Abbott is going to do the least amount possible while making it sound like he's doing everything possible, 99% of the time, you'll be correct." Abbott has strong rhetoric but weak action, as demonstrated by Operation Lone Star and the limited use of the invasion declaration, which Miller describes as "pointless" in its first two iterations.
When the Trump administration took action on the border, the crisis stopped quickly, proving that far more could have been done at the state level. Miller attributes this to Abbott's constant concern about elections and moderate voters, representing an older version of Republicanism that resembles "moderate Democrats at best."
Trump's Constitutional Power to Republish the Census
President Trump announced that he is ordering a new census, raising constitutional questions. Miller clarifies the technical distinction: the President can absolutely republish the prior census with corrected data. This is different from conducting an entirely new census or a mid-decade census, though the President has the authority to do those as well.
What Trump is actually calling for is republishing the 2020 census with corrected numbers that account for undercounts, overcounts, and what Miller describes as "fraudulent numbers." The example of Minnesota is particularly egregious: the state gained an electoral vote based on just 26 extra people, a result Miller calls "nakedly fraudulent."
The Massive Errors of the 2020 Census
The scale of census errors is staggering when compared to previous cycles. The 2010 census was off by approximately 36,000 people total nationwide. In contrast, Texas alone was undercounted by 560,000 people in 2020. Numerous other red states were massively undercounted while blue states were massively overcounted.
While census officials blame COVID-19 for these discrepancies, Miller points to a different culprit: Obama-era bureaucrats who radically changed the census process and remain in positions of power. The Census Bureau operates under the Department of Commerce, but the same bureaucrats from the Obama administration and earlier continue to run the operation.
The Differential Privacy Scandal
Miller exposes one of the most troubling aspects of the current census process: differential privacy. Here's how the census is supposed to work: officials count everyone, make corrections to ensure people aren't counted twice (such as college students counted both at their dorm and their parents' home), and produce accurate raw data called the "tiger file." This accurate data should then be sent to the states for redistricting.
But that's not what happens. Instead, the Census Bureau runs an algorithm called "differential privacy" that scrambles the population data. Only a few people at the Census Bureau with special clearance have access to this algorithm. While officials claim it's for privacy protection, Miller argues something more sinister is occurring.
The algorithm moves population numbers around in ways that even states, cities, and counties cannot verify or correct. The variance could be 2% or it could be 40%—nobody outside the Census Bureau actually knows. Harvard has stated that this process likely results in unconstitutional outcomes for redistricting and apportionment purposes.
How Differential Privacy Enables Voter Dilution
The implications of differential privacy are profound. If you have accurate state-level data down to the block level, you can create accurate political districts and congressional districts that properly count citizens. But differential privacy moves population data around in undetermined amounts, making this impossible.
When states believe census numbers are wrong, they previously had a process to get corrections. But now, because of differential privacy, the Census Bureau cannot tell states if numbers are wrong—doing so would reveal how the algorithm works, which they refuse to do.
This creates a major problem for the Trump administration's citizenship question initiative. Even if the administration successfully asks about citizenship status to determine how many legal citizens versus illegal immigrants live in the United States, differential privacy can move those illegal alien numbers all over the state. When it comes time to draw maps, states cannot get full utility from the data.
Illegal Aliens and Electoral Power Theft
Counting illegal aliens for apportionment purposes has enormous impacts on the Electoral College. When illegal aliens are counted for political districts—even when states don't want to count them but simply don't know where they are—it gives disproportionate voting power to some citizens over others.
Most of the illegal population lives in big cities and their suburbs. As a result of the 2020 census, voting power for Congress has been disproportionately shifted to these urban areas through both differential privacy and the counting of illegal alien populations. Rural communities are being deprived of their electoral power in congressional districts, state house districts, and state senate districts.
The bottom line: red rural districts are massively underrepresented in current congressional maps. Miller argues there is a massive constitutional problem with the way census data has been distributed to states for both apportionment and redistricting purposes.
A Mission for DOGE: Fixing the Census
Kirk asks Miller how he would deploy the "super geniuses" of DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) to solve this problem. Miller outlines a clear action plan requiring coordination between DOGE and Howard Lutnick, who oversees the Commerce Department and therefore the Census Bureau.
First, remove the top two or three bureaucrats at the Census Bureau who are holdovers from the Obama administration and not aligned with the President's vision. Second, bring in people who have done extensive census work and know where the problems are buried. These experts should work with the DOGE team to immediately correct the differential privacy problem that masks and moves data around.
While the extent of corruption is speculative—it could be small or enormous—the fact that corruption exists in the data is inherent in the current process. Miller refuses to concede it's not substantial, given all the scandals and weaponization of government agencies.
The DOGE team's programming experts could quickly fix these problems. However, Miller emphasizes an urgent concern: the Commerce Department must immediately send a letter to the Census Bureau requiring them to retain all records related to this work. He doesn't want bureaucrats covering their tracks by deleting text messages and other evidence of what they've done with differential privacy.
Legal Pathways and Congressional Action
Miller believes the administration figured out much of this problem toward the end of Trump's first term but ran into regulatory hurdles and Administrative Procedures Act issues. Now they have enough runway and know what needs to be done.
The administration has the legal, constitutional, and statutory basis to fix the census problems and correct the numbers. To get maximum benefit, Congress could implement minor reforms outlined in Miller's paper that would make the process easier and allow the administration to avoid the full APA process on future corrections.
The 2030 census cycle must be fully corrected to account for all these issues. But republishing the 2020 census—which Miller insists is completely legal despite what the left will claim—is justified by the sheer amount of miscounts, overcounts, undercounts, the corruption of differential privacy, and the counting of illegals for political district creation. None of this should be permissible, yet that's exactly what Obama bureaucrats implemented in the 2020 census.
Texas: The Worst Offender
When Kirk asks which state was most wildly inaccurate, Miller identifies Texas as the state undercounted by the largest margin. This creates an important pattern: nearly all census errors the Bureau admitted to went to the benefit of Democrats and the detriment of Republicans.
Miller acknowledges this could theoretically be chance, but given the totality of circumstances, he believes the assumption should be that something nefarious occurred. If that's the case, people should be held responsible.
What We Learned from 2024 Election Data
President Trump posted on Truth Social about what was learned from 2024 election data. Miller explains this refers to several revelations: illegal aliens were counted, massive undercounts and overcounts occurred (which the Census Bureau publicly admitted in 2021), and differential privacy is masking data in ways that even other federal agencies cannot access.
Another dimension of this problem affects municipalities across the country. Many cities and counties are suing the federal government because census undercounts resulted in them receiving less federal grant money and fewer federal funds than they're entitled to.
Time to Play Hardball
Kirk concludes by emphasizing it's time to play hardball. This means redoing the census, republishing the census, and confronting the obvious fraud. Minnesota gained an extra electoral vote by 26 people—a result that is, in Kirk's words, "obviously fraudulent."
The census corruption represents a systematic theft of representation from rural America and red states, enabled by secretive algorithms, Obama-era bureaucrats, and the counting of illegal aliens. The Trump administration has both the constitutional authority and the moral imperative to correct these injustices and restore honest representation to the American people.
Video Transcript
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charlariekirk.com and subscribe to our
podcast. Joining us now is Wade Miller,
senior adviser to the Center for
Renewing America. Uh we want to talk
Wade, welcome to the program. I want to
talk to you about Texas eliminating uh
these racebased districts uh and also
possibly a census. But first, talk about
your analysis of the redrawing of the
maps in Texas and let's go more broadly.
>> Sure. So, you know, the the plan is to
get five additional seats. I think
Abbott has recently threatened that
they're going to go for an additional
three if the Democrats won't return. I I
do think one of the undertold stories of
all of this is that the Texas House
Speaker Dustin Burroughs had everyone in
the chamber with the the map out of
committee already about two weeks ago on
Wednesday, not last Wednesday, the
Wednesday before, I believe. and he
allowed them to adjourn to go meet with
Hakee Jeff knowing that they were going
to leave. So, they could have voted on
it that night. Uh the the the Austin
establishment there allowed this to
happen, allowed Democrats to leave. And
now they're putting forward all of these
uh various threats on, you know,
withholding pay. Of course, uh Dustin
Burroughs, the speaker, said that
they're not going to electronically
submit their pay for uh the special
session, that they will have to come
back and collect those in person. Well,
why are they paying them anyways? you
know, they're not even doing simple
things like taking away their parking
spots, which they could do. They're not
removing their chairmanships, which they
could do. Uh they've put forward arrest
warrants, uh but they have not really
been affffectuated. There's some, you
know, thinking that that's moving
forward. And of course, Governor Abbott
has threatened to, you know, render
these seats vacant, but he's doing so
through uh a a court process instead of
just unilaterally doing it. And our
analysis is that Governor Abbott, it's
empirically clear what's going on here.
they're abandoning their their seats. He
should just declare them vacant, which
would immediately establish quorum and
then they could vote uh on the maps and
pass them. Absent that, if this gets
drawn out, I think that the way that we
need to handle Texas is that the DOJ and
in DC, the Trump administration sues
Texas, Attorney General Kim Paxton in
Texas can then uh uh enter into a
consent decree with the DOJ effectively
affirming the maps. And I so I think
that the DOJ should have that in the
back of their minds if if if Governor
Abbott is not going to be more
aggressive on this that if they're just
going to kind of punt this around and
play games and then just hope that
Democrats come back. Well, you know, we
we we can't wait months. We need this to
move forward. We need to start planning
for the next midterm uh primary
elections will be based off of these
maps. So, there's a lot riding on this,
but there's a lot more that could be
done to get this map through the the the
finish line.
>> Yeah. Look, so so Texas is just one
prong in a broader strategy. I did have
to ask a quick follow-up though. I I
love the people of Texas. I love Texas.
We have a lot of Texans watching right
now. But why is it that the Texas
political leaders are so weak while
posturing to be so tough? Where is that
Texas tough attitude in the political
leadership of Texas?
>> Well, I think a lot of these are
holdovers from kind of the Bush era
politics. And you know there's an
incentive for the Texas Republican
speaker to be a centrist or left of
center speaker because he can
effectively be be the speaker with five
or six moderate Republicans supporting
him and all the Democrats. Now they
didn't go that route but that's that is
the power base of the speaker. the
speaker, anyone who wants to be speaker,
all they have to do is say, "Democrats
vote for me and I'll get five of my
liberal Republican friends and then all
of the rest of the conservatives have no
voice and they all know this. So they
all cave and if they want to get their
bills passed, they have to allow this."
So there's just a broken process which
allows Democrats to drive the leadership
of the Texas House. And in terms of Greg
Abbott, I mean, I think he's a nice guy,
but he, you know, if you assume that
Greg Abbott is going to do the least
amount possible while making it sound
like he's doing everything possible, 99%
of the time, you'll be correct. He has
very strong rhetoric, but the action on
this is very weak. We saw this with
Operation Lonear, the weak uh uh uh you
know, use of the invasion declaration,
which was in the first two iterations
pointless, and then uh really did
nothing at all. And of course, we saw
very quickly with the Trump
administration, the border just stopped.
And there was a lot that, you know,
could Abbott have done that? No. But he
could have done a lot more to make those
numbers go down a lot more. And he just
didn't do it. And and that's a I don't
know why. I don't know if he's wants to
be careful, if he's always concerned
about elections and moderates and how
they'll vote, which you and I both know
is always the way that the establishment
operates. Uh, but it I I it defies
logic. I can't fully answer the
question. I don't know why they do this,
but this is kind of a holdover of an
older version of Republicanism, which
kind of hearkens back to being moderate
Democrats at best in many senses and
kind of Bush era politics.
>> So, so Wade, speaking more broadly now,
the president I just want to get a super
quick answer. We have some time because
I want to dive into this. The president
has announced the other day that he is
ordering a new census. Can he do this
constitutionally? Can he say, "I am
doing a new census?" Well, it's this is
a technical distinction. He can
absolutely republish the prior census
and that would be the the correct term
is republish. I don't think he's
actually calling for a whole new census
process. He may be. If he is, yes, you
can do that. You can call for a whole
new census. There's something else
called a mid decade census. That's
different. But yes, he could start the
process of of a whole new census. But I
think what he's actually asking for is
just republishing the last s uh census
with corrected data accounting for all
of these various underounts, overounts,
uh and we can get into the rest of it,
but you know, kind of fraudulent numbers
that are in.
>> So, so Blake, can you get the Minnesota
example? I think Minnesota got an
electoral vote based on like 18 extra
people. Like that one in particular is
just like nakedly fraudulent. But so the
so the president put this out and so are
are you saying that we're just going to
learn that they just make up numbers? Is
that what you're saying?
Yes. So part of it is is so and we can
get into this but differential privacy
effectively scrambles the population
data and then through the actual
counting which the census admits they
got massively wrong. The 2010 census was
off by about 36,000 total nationwide.
Texas alone was undercounted by 560,000.
A whole bunch of other states were
massively undercounted. A whole bunch of
blue states were massively overcounted.
>> Was this because of co
>> Well, they will say that. I think it's
for a whole bunch of other reasons that
the these Obama bureaucrats at the
census department
>> radically redid the process that that
because the department of commerce runs
it right
>> now. That was the Census Bureau was
moved under commerce. Uh, but the same
bureaucrats from the Obama
administration and prior to that are
still there running this. So, there's a
I think the the Trump administration is
aware of this. If if not, I hope that
they're watching this. But they've got a
big problem at the Census Bureau and we
can get into differential privacy.
>> No, we we have we have a lot of time.
Keep going. We we have minutes. Keep So,
the way this is supposed to work is they
count everything and then they do all of
these corrections and just checking the
data to make sure that, you know,
someone who lives in a a household and
an assisted living center isn't getting
counted twice or college dorm and a
their home with their parents isn't
getting counted twice. And then this
they have the raw data that's called the
tiger file. What the way this should
work is they send this data that's
accurate to the states. That does not
occur. What they do is they run
differential privacy and this has an
algorithm which no one has access to
except for a few people at the census
bureau that have a special clearance and
this scrambles the population data. Now
they will say it's for privacy but
really what's going on here is they're
moving and we don't know how much.
There's been all of these open- source
studies on on these algorithm
algorithms. It's not the actual
algorithm. They'll call it an open
source but it's not the actual
algorithm. and they'll and even Harvard
has said that this is likely resulting
in population data that is being sent to
the states that's resulting in
unconstitutional outcomes for the
purposes of redistricting and
aortionment. So if you have state level
data that's accurate down to the block
level data then you can make accurate
political districts. You can make
congressional districts that accurately
count the citizens. But what
differential privacy does is it moves
the population around in an undetermined
amount. It could be a 2% variance. It
could be a 40% variance. We actually
don't know and the states don't know and
cities don't know and counties don't
know and there's no process for them to
actually know because the census would
say if if you think that our numbers are
wrong then in the past they've had a
process so you can get it corrected. But
now because of differential privacy they
can't tell you if it's wrong because
that would alert them potentially to how
the algorithm works and they won't do
that. So now you have so this is really
important. The Trump administration
wants to count illegals or figure out
the ask the question of of citizenship
so they can determine how many legal
citizens or illegal immigrants and how
many illegal immigrants are in the
United States. If you don't remove
differential privacy, but you ask that
question, you will get some utility out
of it. But differential privacy can move
those illegal aliens all over the state
so that when it comes time to drawing
the maps, you can't actually get as much
utility out of it. It's a big problem.
It's a It's a massive problem. And if
you count illegals for the purposes of
aortionment, that obviously has big
impacts on the electoral college. If you
count illegals or or the population of
illegals for purposes of political
districts, even if you don't want to
because you just don't know where
they're at, then that gives
disproportionate amount of voting power
to some citizens over other citizens
because the cities the big cities are
where and and the suburbs of the big
cities are where most of the illegal
population lives. So what has happened
in as a result of the 2020 census is
that voting power for Congress has been
disproportionately moved to these cities
both through differential privacy and
through counting illegal alien
populations and it's depriving rural
communities of their electoral power and
congressional districts and state house
districts and state senate districts. So
what does that mean? It means that red
districts, rural districts are way under
reppresented in the current
congressional maps. I think that there's
a massive constitutional problem with
the way that the census has been put out
to the states for aortionment purposes
and then for uh redistricting purposes.
And I think that the Trump
administration, Steven Miller, has been
very loud about this. They have every
legal right and and power and every
constitutional power to insist that the
prior data be corrected not for partisan
gain but because it just doesn't
actually represent the voting power of
the various states.
>> So I think this is a perfect way to
bring in the super geniuses of Doge.
What would you have them do if you were
kind of a special government employee
and you were in charge of this task
force? How would you put 20 rocket
scientists to work on this? Well, with
the coordination of of Doge and Howard
Lutnook, who's in charge of commerce,
who oversees the bureau, and he's a very
smart man. But I think that between
those two, I think you would need to
remove the current, you know, top two or
three bureaucrats there. I think that
these are holdovers from the Obama
administration. They should not be
there. They're, you know, they're not in
line with the president's vision on this
to begin with. Uh we need to bring in
our own people. uh not just Doge, but we
have some people that have done a lot of
census work for a very long time who
know where these skeletons are buried.
They know how this works. They would be
able to go in there, work with the Doge
team to immediately correct this, to
immediately fix the uh differential
privacy problem that's in there that
masks a lot of this data and moves it
around. And and again, you know, it's
all speculative. It could be a little.
It could be an enormous amount. And
given all of the scandals and corruption
and weaponization of government, I'm not
willing to concede that it's not a lot.
It could be a substantial amount of
corruption in the data from the last
census. Uh uh either way, we know that
there is corruption in the data. That's
just inherent in the process. The
question is how much, but the Doge team
could get in there with their
programming people and quickly fix this.
I think one of my bigger concerns is
that the Commerce Department needs to
send a letter notifying the census to
retain all of their records, anything uh
related to this work. I I I don't want
to see these bureaucrats start to cover
their tracks, delete text messages,
delete things uh to try to cover their
tracks on what they've done with this
differential privacy uh uh corruption.
But uh I think that they would very
quickly be able to write the ship on
this. And then the the administration
itself, I think, figured some of this
out towards the end of the last
administration and tried to fix some of
it, but ran into some uh uh regulatory
hurdles, administrative procedures act
problems. I think they've got enough
runway. They know what needs to be done
on most of this. Uh and then certainly
uh I hope that if there any gaps that
they read our paper uh uh but I think
that they have the the the legal,
constitutional and statutory basis to
fix all of this and then correct the
numbers and then really we need in order
to get the maximum gain out of all this.
There are some things that Congress
could do and it's it's they're on our
paper. They're minor reforms that would
make some of this easier so that the
administration doesn't have to go
through the APA process on all this kind
of stuff moving forward. Uh but the next
census definitely uh for the 2030 cycle
needs to be fully corrected and account
for all of this. But a republishing of
the 2020 census which is completely
legal despite what the left will try to
say is inherently justified by every
means just based on the sheer amount of
miscounts, overounts, underounts, the
corruption of differential privacy, the
counting of illegals for the purposes of
creating political districts. None of
this should be permissible. And yet
that's exactly what these Obama
bureaucrats did on the last sentence
census.
>> What What state is the worst?
>> I'm sorry, what was that?
>> Worst what state would be the worst
offender? What state is the least
accurate? What state did we miss the
mark most wildly?
>> Texas was the one that was the was
underounted the most. And and this is
another important distinction. There
were a lot of errors that the census
admitted to. Almost all of them went, in
fact, all of them essentially went to
the benefit of Democrats and to the
detriment of Republicans. I'm okay, that
could be just a chance, but given the
totality of the circumstances here, I
think that we should assume that that
wasn't just by chance. It may be chance,
but we should assume that something
nefarious was done here. If that is the
case, people should be held responsible.
>> Wade Miller for the Senator Center for
Renewing America. Super quick. Trump on
his truth social said quote what we
learned from data from the 2024 election
30 seconds. What did he mean by that?
>> Well, one uh illegals were counted that
there were massive undercounts and
overounts. This was publicly admitted by
the Census Bureau in 2021. Uh and also I
think an element of this is differential
privacy that the admin knows that they
are masking data and that no one even
other federal agencies don't know this.
Uh, I could come on here and do a whole
segment on the ability of municipalities
all over the country suing the the
federal government on not being paid as
much as they could because the census
underounted them for purposes of federal
uh uh grants and federal funds.
>> Wade Miller, thank you so much again
from the Center for Renewing America.
Thank you.
>> Thanks for having me on. It's time for
us to play hard ball. That means redoing
the census, republishing the census.
Minnesota got an extra electoral vote by
26 people. I mean, 26 people. Obviously
fraudulent.
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