The Oscars Take A Swing At TPUSA

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A viral column encourages women not to have children based on a highly scientific survey of Reddit. We will get

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into the supposed epidemic of parenthood regret. Then good news and bad news. The bad news is the Iran war and high gas prices will likely drag on for weeks.

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Not just based on layman analysis that's coming from the administration. The good news, after Iran, we are likely taking

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Cuba and Mayflower will get some new cigar blends. That should be great.

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Finally, the Oscars apparently happened last night. I did not watch, but I saw the clips. You might have, too. If you

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didn't, Conan O'Brien took the opportunity at the show to invert reality. I'm Michael Nolles. This is the Michael Nolles show.

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[music]

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[music]

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Welcome back to the show.

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Is the CIA investigating Tucker Carlson for being an Iranian spy?

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That [laughter] is that's the claim that Tucker is making on his show. It sounds kind of like a right-wing mad lib, you know, a right-wing new media madib. Is

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the blank is the MSAD surveilling Alex Jones for being a Club of Rome spy? Is that

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you could fill it in with almost anything, but Tucker is making the claim quite seriously. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me. And I wonder, I'm not

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saying this is totally made up. I just wonder how many layers of misinformation from how many places in the government,

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multiple governments, media organizations, uh, is coming out in this. We will investigate whether or not the CIA is investigating Ayatollah

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Carlson momentarily. First though, want to tell you about Bowling Branch. Go to bolandbranch.com/nolles, Canada.

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o l a n dbranch.com/nolles code nolles. Unlock 20% off exclusion supply. See site for details. I want to start with the Oscars. I didn't watch

Chapter 2: Conan: Alternate Oscars

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it. Did you watch it? The ratings are not out yet. We don't know how many people watch the Oscars. Reflexively, we had gotten used to saying, you know,

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once again, nobody watched this stupid show. And that had been true all the way up through 2021.

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From 2015 or even earlier through 2021,

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the ratings of the Oscars kept declining. You used to have in the '9s,

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you'd have 50 55 million people watching the Oscars. Then it dropped down to, I think, 10 million. I think that was the lowest number we ever saw. Then it started to tick back up again. We don't

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have the ratings yet. I certainly didn't watch it. I didn't watch any of the movies that were nominated. I watched part of the Korean movie because I was

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it was recommended to me for the kids and so I part I started to watch it. I didn't even finish the Korean movie.

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What was it called? I am not even I'm not I'm not performing. I just don't remember. Demon Hunters. K-pop Demon Hunters. That was the only one that I

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even watched a part of this year. But in any case, Conan O'Brien took the stage and he riled up the American right with this joke about TPUSA.

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I should warn you, tonight could get political, okay? And if that makes you uncomfortable, there's an alternate Oscars being hosted by Kid Rock. Yeah,

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it's at the Dave and Busters down the street.

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A lot of tickets for that. Some of the right got upset about this joke. I liked it. I like the joke. I think it's pretty

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funny. I really liked it. And one of the

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[sighs]

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one of the many frustrating uh consequences of Charlie's assassination is that everybody is uh presuming to

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speak for him. Here's what Charlie would have thought about this. Here's what Charlie would have thought about that.

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Here's why Charlie Kirk would have supported my precise ideological and political agenda. And I find the whole thing disgusting. And I endeavor never

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to do it, even when I'm quite confident of what what Charlie would have thought about this or that. However, when it comes to jokes about TPUSA or about

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Charlie or about some of what we're doing here on the right, I can't help but remember that when South Park put put Charlie in the show as a character,

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there was there was the Charlie Kirk Awards and then Cartman became Charlie,

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Charlie loved it. He took it as a a badge of honor. I think I totally agreed with him. I think it was a badge of honor. And so when I see this joke,

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major major comedian, major major talk show host and Oscars host making a joke about TPUSA and TPUSA's cultural impact

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from the stage of the Oscars. I think that's awesome, man. I love that. That's great. You know, the the only thing worse than people talking about you is

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people not talking about you when it comes to politics. I think it's great. One, it's a clever little joke. And two,

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the the import of that joke is that TPUSA matters. That halftime show, when they put on the alternative halftime show,

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that mattered. It got everybody talking.

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It did bonkers ratings, tens of millions of views,

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it mattered so much that the Oscars is going to make a joke about it. And the joke might be that the alternative halftime show didn't matter. But the

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very fact that they're talking about it means it did matter. I love that joke. I think it's great. I love that Conan O'Brien made it. I think it's very much,

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you know, within the standards and norms of these kinds of jokes. And I think it only bodess well for TPUSA and the conservative movement. At a time that the conservative movement could use it.

Chapter 3: Conan At Oscars: British Arrest Their Pedophiles!

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Conan made a stupid joke after that.

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Conan made a joke about elites, pedophiles,

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and the Brits. And the joke fell flat for a simple reason. Here's the joke.

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It's the first time since 2012, first time since 2012 that there are no British actors nominated for best actor or best actress.

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Yeah. British spokesperson said, "Yeah,

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well, at least we arrest our pedophiles." So, you got that going.

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Okay. So there's a little bit of a good joke in there. There's a little there's a little bit of of razing Hollywood there because they're saying, "Yeah, the

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joke is that there are a lot of pedtos in Hollywood." That's the surface level of the joke.

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Now, the way a lot of people are interpreting that, I think, is that uh the it's a joke about Jeffrey Epstein,

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and Jeffrey Epste didn't only pal around with guys from Hollywood, but he paddled around with elites in politics and business. And the Democrats are using

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the Epstein scandal, which you will recall was a Democrat scandal over 10 years ago when it started. They're using that to become a scandal about Donald Trump. And you have a lot of Democrats

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and libs uh baselessly, completely without any evidence whatsoever, accusing Trump of being a pedophile. So,

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I think the way it was understood and interpreted was not just a joke about Hollywood, it was a a Trump joke.

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But the reason it's a dumb joke is because the Brits actually don't arrest their pedophiles. They don't. The the uh

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Brits allowed the grooming gangs in England, the Pakistani grooming gangs to go on for over 25 years. There were

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thousands and thousands of victims. It's actually not possible to know how many victims there were because the police

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and the political authorities turned a blind eye to it, knew about it, turned a blind eye to it for decades, so long

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that we actually can't know how many thousands of of young girls were victimized by specifically migrants. So,

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we can't know. So, the the reason the joke falls flat, again, I'm I'm way looser on comedians. I don't take it personally when when the the lib comedians go after the conservatives,

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but this one falls flat cuz it's it's not true. It's not grounded in reality.

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And for comedy to work, it's got to be grounded in reality. Okay. Now, speaking of foreign affairs, we turn from the Brits to the Iranians.

Chapter 4: Chris Wright: Conflict Will Come To An End In Next Few Weeks

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The war is still going on. There's been some misunderstanding. Is the war over?

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Did we already win? Are we just getting started? The administration was putting out both of those messages simultaneously.

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And as I pointed out on the show last week, that's not necessarily a contradiction. To say the war is almost over. You know, we've we've achieved what we most of what we want to achieve,

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but also we've only just begun means we want this to wrap down wrap up soon, but we have the capacity to go on for months

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or years. So, it's no surprise that the White House is saying one thing, the Department of War is saying another thing. Those actually do harmonize.

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they're not necessarily in conflict, but we all want the war to be over. I think a lot of that messaging on, yeah, the war is basically over coming out of the

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president. I think that's because the war is unpopular. It's the most unpopular war at launch that we've ever

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had for all sorts of reasons that are really beyond President Trump's control.

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But nevertheless, even the the rightwing, even the GOP base is kind of split on this war. And so, we want it to be over. We want to win. We recognize

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that there's a lot of good to to come out of getting rid of the Iranian regime, but we want it to be over. The administration coming out now and saying, uh, actually hold your horses.

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We'll get to what the energy secretary,

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Chris Wright, said. First though, I want to tell you about Cowboy Colostrum. Go to cowboy colostrum.com/nolleskinw.

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can w at cowboyclustrom.com/nolles how much longer is the Iranian war going to go on here is energy secretary Chris

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Wright how long should Americans expect for gas prices to be high. Are we talking weeks?

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Are we talking months? Or just don't know at this point?

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Yeah, I I think that this conflict will certainly come to the end in the next few weeks. Could could be sooner than that, but the conflict will come to the

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end in the next few weeks and we'll see a rebound in supplies and a pushing down of prices after that. Um, but yes, we

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were very aware, very aware that we would have short-term disruption. we would cause some uh we would cause a

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little bit of increased prices on Americans. Prices today are still far below what they were in the Biden administration where they were begging,

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bartering, and bribing Iran to to behave better. We we had $5 gasoline in the middle of the Biden administration. We

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hope we don't get there this time, but at least this increase in gasoline prices is for something that's going to change the geopolitical situation in the

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world forever. Crucial point here and people, I don't know, they're just they're stuck in their abstract ideology

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and they're not seeing the pragmatic effects of all of this. So, gas oil prices this morning when I checked,

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right before this show, $96 a barrel.

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That's up substantially from where they had been even just some days ago. It was 75. Then it vacasillates to 85. Last

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week it got up to 115. Then it came down sub 100. As of this morning it was just slightly under 100. Uh but the street of

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Hormuz is closed. There's also conflicting reporting because it's war and there's the fog of war and there's a ton of misinformation. Uh there's mis there's conflicting reporting on whether

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or not the White House anticipated that the Iranians could close the straight of Hormuz because in fairness they don't usually do this. It's a pretty big uh

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move to close off the place that 20% of the world's oil moves through. So uh the Iranians decide to close the straight of Hormuz. Now the United States is saying,

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"Well, we're going to have US Navy vessels and maybe other NATO vessels escorting oil through so we can get the oil moving again." But just given how long the straight has been closed,

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probably oil should be higher than it is. I think I'm no financial genius. And even if they were to reopen the straight

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now, the the effects on oil prices would go on for a little bit longer. And so it's a sign not only that there are

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going to be some real costs uh and especially in terms of domestic politics to the war, but it's a sign that the Iranians are viewing this as an

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existential threat and they're going to play every card that they have. So that's a big worry. The question is, are we going to are we going to buckle?

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who's going to win this game of chicken?

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Because what Chris Wright said there at the very end is absolutely right. What Chris Wright said there at the end is look, we're gonna have some short-term

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pain, but if we can recalibrate the Iranian regime, the payoff in the long term is going to be inestimable. And I think he's totally right about that.

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There is a reason that the United States has made it a point of grand strategy since 1953 to put a friendly regime into Iran. Iran is the the destabilizing

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force in the Middle East. Iran has one foot in the international order, one foot outside of the international order.

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Iran is buddies with our enemies. True for many decades at this point. Iran really matters. If you could flip it and

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you could create uh an alliance of the Gulf States with Israel, with American interests broadly, you you cut off the

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head of the snake in Iran. This would be great for oil prices. It would be great for stability in the region, investment in the region, we could focus our

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attention elsewhere onto more serious adversaries. All of that could be great.

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But what if we don't? If we don't, if the Iranian regime survives and you you get you replace Ayatollah Kamei with

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another Ayatollah Kamei, albeit an Ayatollah Kamee who's even angrier than the first one because we just killed his dad and most of his friends and family

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and according to one report, at least blew off one of his legs. Uh that's not great. And and if the Iranians can

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conclude from this war that when they close the straight of Hormuz, America will back down. Well, now Iran can just

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do that whenever it wants. Anytime we threaten their ballistics missile program, when anytime we we threaten their nuclear program, anytime we threaten any of their interests and say,

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"All right, we're going to close the straight and you're not going to be in it long enough to force us to reopen it." So, it's a, as I said from the beginning of this conflict, this is a massive, massive risk. Trump loves risk.

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He takes a ton of risk, but this is a massive, massive risk. If it works out,

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it will achieve many American grand strategic goals that we've had for many decades. If it doesn't work out, this

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will be one of the great blunders. It could tarnish President Trump's legacy to the degree that George Bush's legacy

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was tarnished. It's a big risk. So, if I had been on the NSC, as I've said many times, I would have made the arguments against striking Iran. Not because of ideology, not because I'm a pacifist,

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not because I'm an isolationist, but just because I would have thought the the pragmatic effects of it were going to be too tough. Now, I only have public information. Obviously, the government had classified information. However,

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now that President Trump is in it, now that he made the call, he has a very, very good record on foreign policy.

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Better record than any president in my lifetime. I trust the president quite broadly when it especially when it comes to foreign policy. But also, it's worth

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pointing out before everyone panics what Chris Wright said here that I think scared the markets and I think it's scaring a lot of people in the MAGA coalition. What Chris Wright said is

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this war is is probably going to go on for another few weeks.

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That is within President Trump's timeline that he gave at the very start of the war. He did not go in and say this is going to be Venezuela. It's

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going to be over in 88 minutes. He said yeah, it's going to be about 5 weeks. We are now slightly over two weeks into it. Chris Wright on Sunday yesterday says,

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"Yeah, it's going to go on for another few weeks." That is still within Trump's timeline. And so, as you're hearing this from someone who is quite skeptical of going into Iran,

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I have I have said from the beginning,

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you know, Trump has a plan. I'm not going to freak out even in week five.

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I'm certainly not going to freak out in week two. I'm not going to freak out in week five. I'm going to wait at least until week six. If you want to freak out in week six, I think you're justified in

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doing so. But as of now, there really is no contradiction coming out of the administration on Iran. Okay, speaking of Iran,

Chapter 5: Tucker Carlson

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Tucker has just made a startling claim.

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Tucker came out, I think he posted this yesterday, maybe the day before. He says that the CIA has been surveilling him to

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build a case against him to prosecute him as some kind of Iranian spy.

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So the other day I found out that the CIA is preparing some kind of criminal referral against me, a crime report to

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the Department of Justice on the basis of a supposed crime I committed. What's that crime? Well,

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talking to people in Iran before the war. They read my texts. So, the crime under consideration apparently would be

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the foreign agent act or something like that. Acting as a agent of a foreign power. Okay. Uh it goes on. I think Tucker gives about a two-minute

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explanation here. But this is pretty startling for for starters. He is admitting that he was texting the

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Iranians. Now, before everyone says that he's, you know, he's next in line to be the Ayatollah or something, Tucker makes a good point. He says, "Look, I'm a

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journalist. I've been interviewing all sorts of people for many, many years. It used to be the case that American

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journalists would go and interview Osama bin Laden or go and interview Vladimir Putin, which Tucker did, but Tucker's not the only guy who's interviewed

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Vladimir Putin, or go and interview all sorts of hostile leaders." So, there's nothing in itself wrong about a journalist texting the Iranians. I guess

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it depends on the substance of those text messages, but that part is already established. The question then is, is the CIA investigating Tucker for

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committing some kind of crime? And I guess when it gets to the substance of the text messages, was Tucker colluding with the Iranians or something? And it

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it doesn't really make sense to me. And here's why it doesn't make sense. You're going to have all sorts of people. There are going to be people who hate Tucker saying he's a foreign agent. He's bought

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and paid for. He's And you're going to have people defending Tucker saying he would never do any such thing. You know,

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he's as patriotic as apple pie. And I just take your personal feelings and affection out of this for a second and

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just look at the accusations starting at the accusations from the people who hate Tucker. They say he's bought and paid

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for by whom? By the Qataris and the the Arabs. That's been the claim. That's

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been the the chief line of attack against Tucker for how many months now?

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He's bought and paid for by the Qataris and by the Arabs. He was just speaking in Saudi Arabia what a month and a half ago.

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Why would a guy who's bought and paid for by not only the Qataris but but even especially the Arabs, why would he be working for the Iranians? It doesn't

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take a foreign policy genius. It doesn't take count vonik to realize that the Arabs and the Iranians don't like each

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other. Qatar has this very interesting position in the in the international order because Qatar has decent relations with just about

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everybody. Qatar has decent relations with the state of Israel and Hamas and Iran. We've got a kind of pragmatic

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relationship, but Qar is a Gulf state and Qar has a good relationship with the United States. We have a good military relationship with Qatar. And so, okay,

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you say Qatar is this very strategic location,

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works as a kind of buffer almost neutral state. But then what about the Arabs?

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Why is why how can you explain to me how Tucker would be cozying up to the Saudis

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but also working for the Iranians and also he's a Russian spy and also this that and the other thing. It doesn't make

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sense to me. And so I I have no doubt that Tucker has heard this from someone.

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Maybe maybe he got it from high up. Who knows? You know, he Tucker knows a ton of people. He's got a ton of access.

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Maybe that's the case. But then I don't know. The whole thing seems crazy to me.

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Could you imagine the DOJ prosecuting Tucker? Maybe. I mean, we've pro Look,

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the United States government has has prosecuted journalists before and there's all sorts of espionage and I don't know. I mean, I guess it's possible. The story just doesn't make

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sense to me. To me, it just I just wonder how many layers of misinformation and disinformation are going on here. We

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are in the midst of a war, like a real hot war with missiles flying, with Marines being shipped in potentially for

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ground forces in Iran after a major attack on the Iranian nuclear facilities. And in the fog of war, there

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is a ton of propaganda at this point. I think X Twitter is like 70%

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foreign and domestic propaganda. I don't know how many organic comments are really there anymore. And so I I just suppose with anything I said this I said

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this the minute the war kicked off. I said I said needless to say anything you hear about this war in the next 48 hours should be taken with a grain of salt.

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Well, you can even extend that. Over the weekend I found out that BB Netanyahu was dead and then I found out he was alive again. I found out Ali the not Ali

23:43

23 minutes, 43 seconds

Mo Taba the son of Ali Kami the the new Ayatollah I heard that he was dead then he's not dead but he's missing a leg and

23:50

23 minutes, 50 seconds

Tucker's an Iranian spy but he's also a Qatari spy and he's probably a Saudi spy and I take all of it with a grain of salt.

24:00

24 minutes

This goes right back to my general strategy with the the Trump administration's view on the Iran war.

24:08

24 minutes, 8 seconds

I had my views, as most of us did, I think, about invading Iran. I had my own views. I had my own preconceptions. I had my own priors. Now, we've invaded.

24:18

24 minutes, 18 seconds

The war's on. We want to win it. We need to win it.

24:23

24 minutes, 23 seconds

I'm giving it five weeks. I start freaking out on week six. Very strange,

24:27

24 minutes, 27 seconds

though. I mean, some of the claims being made just don't they just don't make any sense. No surprise. Propaganda flies around in times of war. Okay. Now,

24:36

24 minutes, 36 seconds

another reason that we need to win the the war in Iran is uh so that we can go to Cuba and I can get really good blends

24:43

24 minutes, 43 seconds

for Mayflower cigars. The new the blends we have are already the best, but I want to make blend four, blend five, blend six. Want some of that sweet Cuban

24:52

24 minutes, 52 seconds

tobacco that the Cubans don't know how to use anymore. And it looks like Cuba is amendable to that. For the first time in what 60 years, the Cubans are

25:01

25 minutes, 1 second

seriously considering relations with the United States. First,

25:06

25 minutes, 6 seconds

before we get to that, I want to tell you about Mizen and Maine. Go to misinandmine.com. Use promo code Michael Misj 20. Dry cleaning is a real hassle.

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25 minutes, 15 seconds

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25 minutes, 23 seconds

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25 minutes, 31 seconds

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25 minutes, 51 seconds

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25 minutes, 58 seconds

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26 minutes, 6 seconds

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26 minutes, 15 seconds

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26 minutes, 18 seconds

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Chapter 6: Cuba Enters Talks With U.S.

26:25

26 minutes, 25 seconds

Cuba is on fire, my friends. Ever since Cuba is so on fire, I have to readjust my earpiece so that I can make sure I

26:33

26 minutes, 33 seconds

hear the duet Spanish tones of the president of Cuba. Cuba is on fire uh because they don't have any money and

26:41

26 minutes, 41 seconds

they don't have any oil. And the reason they don't have any money and they don't have any oil is because of President Trump's brilliant military operation in Venezuela, which not only rebuffed

26:50

26 minutes, 50 seconds

Russia and China, but also rebu and Iran actually, but also rebuffed Cuba, which was heavily reliant on Venezuela. In fact, a lot of the people who were

26:58

26 minutes, 58 seconds

killed in the Venezuela attack were Cubans, were Cuban mercenaries who were sent over there. So Cuba's in real trouble. Uh they the Communist Party

27:06

27 minutes, 6 seconds

headquarters in Sego de Avila uh w was burned early on Saturday. There have

27:13

27 minutes, 13 seconds

been 10 consecutive nights of nationwide protests. There have been hundreds of protests around the island. It's broken all recent records.

27:21

27 minutes, 21 seconds

So much so that the president of Cuba had to come out and and uh make a a major how did he put it? a speech quote

27:30

27 minutes, 30 seconds

to address matters of national and international significance.

27:36

27 minutes, 36 seconds

Here is what I you know we have it I think only in Spanish right you can at least see you can you can at least see the president's mouth moving there are

27:43

27 minutes, 43 seconds

international factors says the president that have facilitated these talks and uh the talks with the United States

27:50

27 minutes, 50 seconds

intend to identify the bilateral problems that need a solution bilateral problems uh meaning America wants Cuban

27:58

27 minutes, 58 seconds

cigars among other things and Cuba wants uh to continue to live Cuba wants to be

28:05

28 minutes, 5 seconds

able to power their homes and feed themselves. And the president says this is a very sensitive process that is being approached with responsibility and great sensitivity.

28:14

28 minutes, 14 seconds

So it looks like we're getting Cuba. Don't you forget we have already possessed Cuba, I think three times over the last

28:22

28 minutes, 22 seconds

130 years. So it would not be a great break with American tradition for us to have control of Cuba. Not necessarily as

28:30

28 minutes, 30 seconds

the 51st state, though I would kind of like it because Cubans are pretty conservative. I wouldn't I wouldn't want to acquire all of the Latin American states. Some of them are a little too

28:37

28 minutes, 37 seconds

liib and socialist. But Cuba, the pe Cuban people are terrific. But maybe you do a Puerto Rico kind of thing, a protectorate or who knows? Who knows

28:44

28 minutes, 44 seconds

what happens? Maybe you just open up relations and we can blend some new cigars there. But

28:52

28 minutes, 52 seconds

this is very likely to happen. And I'll tell you why it's very likely to happen.

28:57

28 minutes, 57 seconds

Here's my rule of thumb on this. Who's the president of Cuba? Can you tell me right now without looking it up? I'm not This is I wouldn't have known this

29:06

29 minutes, 6 seconds

necessarily. It would have taken me a long time to remember who's the president of Cuba.

29:11

29 minutes, 11 seconds

You don't know. Nobody knows. His name I do know now. His name is Miguel Diaz Canal.

29:18

29 minutes, 18 seconds

But he's not a Castro. The regime is just spent. It's not that Trump's action in Venezuela destroyed the Cuban regime.

29:26

29 minutes, 26 seconds

It's that the Cuban regime was on the brink of collapse and Trump he went like this. He just kind of blew it over and it's falling down. This is this is like

29:33

29 minutes, 33 seconds

Reagan in the Cold War. Reagan's great insight into the Soviet Union in the Cold War was that they were already weak. And all the foreign policy

29:41

29 minutes, 41 seconds

geniuses who were arguing for a day tant and better relations,

29:46

29 minutes, 46 seconds

they didn't really buy that. But Reagan knew they were already weak. And if you just kind of blew hard on them, you just say, you know, like poked them just a

29:54

29 minutes, 54 seconds

little bit, they would collapse. And that is exactly what happened. Once again,

30:00

30 minutes

uh, for those who are critiquing Trump or think that this is a flight of fancy or a digression from the MAGA movement or whatever,

30:08

30 minutes, 8 seconds

it has been an aspect of US grand strategy to regain control over Cuba, at least friendly relations with Cuba since 1959.

30:19

30 minutes, 19 seconds

With Iran, you could say it's been our mission since 1979. though really I think you have to backdate it to 1953 because that was when the CIA coup

30:27

30 minutes, 27 seconds

occurred and we got rid of the socialist Mosed and we strengthened the sha. But in any case, Trump's foreign policy is

30:36

30 minutes, 36 seconds

fulfilling goals of the United States that we have had since the 1950s that other presidents have not been able to do.

30:45

30 minutes, 45 seconds

That's that's very impressive. This is not a return to Bushism. This is not a return to Clintonism or Obamaism

30:52

30 minutes, 52 seconds

or even really Reaganism. This is going back to America's golden age. Most people would say America's peak,

30:59

30 minutes, 59 seconds

America's peak of strength and confidence and resilience was was probably in the 1950s. Trump is fulfilling

31:07

31 minutes, 7 seconds

goals that we have had from the perspective of grand strategy since the 1950s.

31:13

31 minutes, 13 seconds

He could be a truly transformative president if it works. If it doesn't work, he'll go down in disgrace. But if it does work and he's got a good record,

31:22

31 minutes, 22 seconds

he could be truly transformative. Some people are asking, why is Trump focused so much overseas? Why isn't he focused on more domestic matters? And I think he's doing a lot of good domestically.

31:31

31 minutes, 31 seconds

But I'll tell you why. Because overseas,

31:34

31 minutes, 34 seconds

he doesn't have to deal with federal judges. Overseas, he doesn't have to deal with Democrats because he has a lot more control over what he does overseas.

31:42

31 minutes, 42 seconds

Now, there is a fear that if if the Iran operation goes sideways, and there are a hundred different ways, more a thousand different ways it could go sideways,

31:51

31 minutes, 51 seconds

that that would really mess up the Republicans for the midterms.

31:55

31 minutes, 55 seconds

And the House Republicans are saying there's a good shot we're going to expand our majority in the midterms. I just sat down with the speaker of the house last week. He's he said that

32:03

32 minutes, 3 seconds

exclusive interview on on the channel and on Daily Wire. Uh the uh Republicans say, "Well, look, we've deported a lot

32:10

32 minutes, 10 seconds

of Democrat voters, so actually we're going to have a decent chance." Look,

32:14

32 minutes, 14 seconds

the Democrats still have low favorable numbers, so maybe the Republicans numbers have dropped, but the Democrats are still very unfavorable and their candidates are lunatics, so we're actually going to do very well. Okay.

32:23

32 minutes, 23 seconds

There is though an alternative theory that one of the reasons that Trump is making all of these bold moves now is

32:31

32 minutes, 31 seconds

that the Republicans have a one vote majority effectively in in the House.

32:36

32 minutes, 36 seconds

The party in power always loses the House in the first midterm after the presidential elections. Always. With almost no exception.

32:46

32 minutes, 46 seconds

One vote majority. Give me a break. And so there is this alternative theory that the reason President Trump is making

32:52

32 minutes, 52 seconds

these massive moves abroad right now is that he's written off the midterms. I'm not getting that from any inside sources

33:00

33 minutes

at the White House. That's just pure speculation,

33:04

33 minutes, 4 seconds

but it does kind of make sense because if you're going to lose the House majority by two seats or 20 seats, it

33:12

33 minutes, 12 seconds

doesn't really matter. It's going to mean that the Democrats are going to come into power and they're going to have subpoena power and they're going to create all sorts of stupid

33:20

33 minutes, 20 seconds

investigations. They're probably going to impeach Trump. It's gonna whether whether it's two seats or whether it's 20. So, if you're already going down in

33:29

33 minutes, 29 seconds

the midterms, I'm not I'm not saying that's going to happen. I'm not saying even that's what Trump's thinking, but this is one way to make sense of Trump's massive moves overseas, Venezuela, Iran,

33:38

33 minutes, 38 seconds

Cuba, is to say, "Look, man, if we're if I'm going to have to deal with these crazy Democrats after the midterms anyway, might as well do some real good

33:46

33 minutes, 46 seconds

in the meantime. Might as well go down like a legend. Might as well achieve some American priorities that we've had for 70 years and get my names even

33:55

33 minutes, 55 seconds

further ensconed in the history books than they already are."

33:59

33 minutes, 59 seconds

Best case scenario, we win in Iran. We take Cuba, we get some new blends of Mayflower cigars, and we win in the midterms. Would that it were so simple.

34:09

34 minutes, 9 seconds

I'd be thrilled, and it's possible that it happens. But at the very least, it does make if you're if you're staring down the barrel of look, we're going to lose the house anyway.

34:18

34 minutes, 18 seconds

Might as well make some big moves. Why not? Why not take some big swings?

34:22

34 minutes, 22 seconds

You're going to have you're going to have the same consequences either way. Okay. Now, speaking of Latin America, horrific story coming out of New York.

34:29

34 minutes, 29 seconds

And I think this actually this messaging will help Republicans in the midterms. A a Honduran national who was deported

34:36

34 minutes, 36 seconds

four times from the United States has just thrown an elderly Air Force veteran onto subway tracks.

34:44

34 minutes, 44 seconds

How many stories like this do we need to hear? We'll get to that story in a second. And then Eric Swallwell might not be able to run for governor in California.

34:52

34 minutes, 52 seconds

Eric Swallwell, who is absolutely insufferable, one of the goofiest Democrats there is, he is the front runner in the Democrat uh primary now and therefore in the race for governor.

35:03

35 minutes, 3 seconds

But one weird reason why he might actually be ineligible to run. Folks, if you are not yet a DailyWire Plus member,

35:11

35 minutes, 11 seconds

you're missing my show, one of my favorite shows, Barfight, live from Broadway in Nashville. New episodes every Saturday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

35:20

35 minutes, 20 seconds

Premise is very simple. I debate people who disagree with me in a bar in front of a rowdy audience who can jump on the mic at any time. So, you have real debates over real ideas in a a kind of a

35:29

35 minutes, 29 seconds

casual format. This week, two liberals and I debated whether feminism destroys everything. You do not have to guess how it ended. You can see for yourself at

35:37

35 minutes, 37 seconds

dailywire.com or on the Daily Wire Plus app. Uh the other reason to do it, you get the all access. So, I get not only do you get to hear from me in a personal

35:45

35 minutes, 45 seconds

way, but more importantly, I get to hear from you, which I really like cuz then I can steal all your ideas and improve my own thinking. Uh, it's a a great way to

35:52

35 minutes, 52 seconds

stay in touch, and this is the way to do it. This powers everything we do. Get the Daily Wire Plus app, become a member today. I didn't pick my favorite comment yesterday. I told the producers, I said,

Chapter 7: My Favorite Comment

36:03

36 minutes, 3 seconds

I was too busy today. I've been juggling a lot of things. I was down at a great cigar show over the weekend. Woke up at 3:00 in the morning, flew down to the

36:11

36 minutes, 11 seconds

great smoke in Florida. Had a very, very difficult workday smoking cigars and hanging out with great people. Then my flight was delayed. I got back in midnight. Then I've been working a lot,

36:21

36 minutes, 21 seconds

smoking a lot of cigars. Anyway, I didn't have time to pick the comment today. So, what did the producers pick?

36:27

36 minutes, 27 seconds

They say, "The best comment is from Professor Jacob." Okay. Says, "I love it when I tell Michael to pick a comment and he doesn't listen. [laughter]

36:38

36 minutes, 38 seconds

You know what? I I always have to judge the the producers comments. I love that comment because I love that too. And

36:45

36 minutes, 45 seconds

poor Professor Jacob, he's running the show today cuz Mr. Davies is still still on his 3-week Brokeback ski trip over here. It's unbelievable.

36:53

36 minutes, 53 seconds

I carry this company on my back, one cigar at a time, and everyone else gallivanting about. But I appreciate

37:02

37 minutes, 2 seconds

that Professor Jacob is there and he picked a good comment.

Chapter 8: 4x-Deported Honduran Throws Elderly AF Vet On Subway Tracks

37:05

37 minutes, 5 seconds

A Honduran national deported four times from the United States has just pushed an elderly Air Force vet onto the tracks of the New York City subway.

37:16

37 minutes, 16 seconds

Uh you can read about it in the local news. You're not going to see a lot about it in the national news. This guy was arrested on Tuesday for pushing a he

37:24

37 minutes, 24 seconds

is a 30-year-old man. Oh no, sorry. He pushed two people, a 30-year-old man and an 83y old man onto the tracks. This was

37:32

37 minutes, 32 seconds

unprovoked. This guy is a serial criminal, four-time deport. He uh according to the deputy assistant secretary of DHS, Lauren Biz, uh he

37:41

37 minutes, 41 seconds

should never have been able to walk our streets to arm innocent Americans. We're praying for their families. You know,

37:46

37 minutes, 46 seconds

he's probably get off the hook. He's probably already eating dollar slice pizza right now, receiving various taxpayer subsidies. He's probably living

37:54

37 minutes, 54 seconds

it up at the Roosevelt Hotel where the illegal aliens for years have have been able to get better accommodations than most actual taxpaying New Yorkers.

38:04

38 minutes, 4 seconds

The reason the story matters is not that it's shocking or surprising. It's not man bites dog. This has been happening for a long time.

38:13

38 minutes, 13 seconds

This is directly attributable to Mayor Zoran Mandani and Governor Kathy Hokll.

38:20

38 minutes, 20 seconds

Mamani and Hokll and all the Democrat mayors and governors of sanctuary cities and states are aiding and abetting these

38:29

38 minutes, 29 seconds

crimes. They are actively encouraging these crimes because the sanctuary cities and states refuse to cooperate

38:38

38 minutes, 38 seconds

with federal immigration enforcement and they refuse to turn these criminals over to ICE. According to the current policy in New York City,

38:49

38 minutes, 49 seconds

this guy, if he is sent to prison, if he is,

38:55

38 minutes, 55 seconds

will be allowed to get out and run free in New York afterward. When ICE shows up to say, "We want to pick this guy up and deport him for the fifth time,"

39:03

39 minutes, 3 seconds

New York will say, "No, we will not hand him over to you. We will protect the guy who threw the 83y old Air Force vet into the subway tracks. The guy who's got a

39:11

39 minutes, 11 seconds

wrap sheet a mile long, who's broken our laws countless times.

39:17

39 minutes, 17 seconds

Only way to stop him from doing it's probably capital punishment at this point."

39:21

39 minutes, 21 seconds

Yeah. So, right now, he wouldn't get back into the country because President Trump closed the border. But the next time you get a Democrat president, he's going to open the border wide open again. This guy's going to walk back in.

39:32

39 minutes, 32 seconds

The mayors and the governors, Mamani,

39:34

39 minutes, 34 seconds

Hokll, and the rest of them are actively working with this guy. They have blood on their hands. Every every woman that

39:43

39 minutes, 43 seconds

these people light on fire in a subway car in New York, every every throat that these people slash, every crime these people commit is on their hands. And that's not hyperbole.

39:54

39 minutes, 54 seconds

They are I mean they are very practically very literally protecting these people from federal immigration enforcement. They are keeping them in

40:02

40 minutes, 2 seconds

the country holding them holding them tight when federal immigration enforcement tries to enforce the law.

40:09

40 minutes, 9 seconds

But furthermore we have to re recognize about illegal immigration that every single crime that

40:15

40 minutes, 15 seconds

the illegals commit here is needless is gratuitous is preventable. Every single one. The libs like to come out and they

40:24

40 minutes, 24 seconds

say, "Well, actually the illegal aliens commit much less crime than the native born population." First of all, that isn't true. Then they try to hone it in.

40:29

40 minutes, 29 seconds

They say, "Well, actually, the illegal aliens commit much less violent crime than the native born population." You can make some arguments for that, but it's they're pretty weak arguments, but

40:37

40 minutes, 37 seconds

it's all missing the point. We have to deal with the crime that the nativeborn Americans commit. We have to deal with

40:45

40 minutes, 45 seconds

it. We don't have an option. We can't strip them of citizenship. In some cases, we would like to, but we can't. So, that's baked in. You're right. That's not preventable.

40:54

40 minutes, 54 seconds

Every single illegal who's here who commits any crime, whether we're talking about rape and murder or whether we're talking about jaywalking and tax evasion, every single one of those crimes was preventable.

41:04

41 minutes, 4 seconds

And therefore, the people who are fighting tooth and nail to keep those illegals in this country, even the even the convicted criminals, felons,

41:12

41 minutes, 12 seconds

murderers,

41:14

41 minutes, 14 seconds

every single one of those people has blood on their hands. And you got to run against every single Dem on this. This is one way to run against Eric Swallwell in California, if he is allowed to run.

Chapter 9: Swalwell Can't Run For Governor?

41:25

41 minutes, 25 seconds

But it's very unclear if he's allowed to run. Eric Swallwell is apparently not a California resident.

41:33

41 minutes, 33 seconds

This is the claim being made by a conservative activist, Joel Gilbert, who observes that Eric Swallwell is not actually a resident of California. Now,

41:43

41 minutes, 43 seconds

according to the California Constitution, Article 5, Section 2, the governor shall be an elector who has been a citizen of the United States and

41:50

41 minutes, 50 seconds

a resident of this state for 5 years immediately preceding the governor's election.

41:56

41 minutes, 56 seconds

Swallwell doesn't live in California reportedly. Swallwell lives in Washington DC because that is where Fang Fang lives.

42:05

42 minutes, 5 seconds

No, that's not that's not fair. There there's Fang Fang. We have a picture of Fang Fang. It's not Swallwell is so

42:12

42 minutes, 12 seconds

goofy and he is certainly been compromised by foreign spies and he's made a fool of himself on television

42:20

42 minutes, 20 seconds

many times and but that's not the attack here. That's the way conservatives attack him. And uh Joel Gilbert has has

42:28

42 minutes, 28 seconds

levied this attack. But this attack's being backed up by Democrats too. Tommy Styer who wants to be governor as well,

42:32

42 minutes, 32 seconds

billionaire. He's he's backing up this attack. This is pretty real. He doesn't live in California. By all appearances,

42:40

42 minutes, 40 seconds

he lives in DC. And you know what? I'll go further. I'm trying to be very nice to Swallwell here. I like that he doesn't live in DC. I I don't like that

42:48

42 minutes, 48 seconds

congressmen have to maintain residency in their states. I don't really like that because it splits up families.

42:56

42 minutes, 56 seconds

That's actually why I one of the reasons that I don't want to run for Congress.

42:59

42 minutes, 59 seconds

There are a few reasons I don't want to run for Congress, but one of the reasons I don't want to run for Congress is you you're away from your family 5 days a

43:07

43 minutes, 7 seconds

week for much of the year. And uh then when you're supposed to be back with your family, you usually have to go out and campaign anyway. And then even the times that Congress isn't in session,

43:16

43 minutes, 16 seconds

you got to hit the road, campaign for other candidates. And so you're away from your family most of the time. And one way that this was remedied

43:24

43 minutes, 24 seconds

previously is you'd be elected to Congress and then you would move your family to Washington DC. And by the way,

43:29

43 minutes, 29 seconds

when you live in Washington DC and you spend a little time around the other congressman, it actually is conducive to getting things done.

43:38

43 minutes, 38 seconds

You know, yeah, you don't want to become a victim of the swamp, but likewise, you can't actually accomplish anything if you don't speak with people, if you don't spend any time with them. So, I like I actually like that move to DC,

43:48

43 minutes, 48 seconds

but he can't be governor. He can't be governor if he lives in Washington DC.

43:53

43 minutes, 53 seconds

The Constitution is very clear. He is in actual legal trouble right now. Now,

43:59

43 minutes, 59 seconds

they might get around it because the if I were Swallwell, the argument I'd be making is, hey, look, 13% of the California population isn't uh isn't even citizens. Forget about residents.

44:09

44 minutes, 9 seconds

They're not even citizens. 13%.

44:12

44 minutes, 12 seconds

And most of those who will be voting obviously will be voting for Eric Swallwell. So, you say, "What what does it matter if I live here? 13% of these Californians aren't even American. But

44:22

44 minutes, 22 seconds

the Constitution says what it says. We might have a new front runner soon,

44:27

44 minutes, 27 seconds

which will be very sad for me because then Eric Swallwell will be out of the news cycles and I'll have less content.

Chapter 10: SAVE AMERICA Act

44:32

44 minutes, 32 seconds

Speaking of uh voting and demographics and elections, the Save America Act, the

44:41

44 minutes, 41 seconds

Save America Act, a new version of the Save Act is up. The House has passed multiple versions of this. The Senate is holding it up. Now, I thought that

44:49

44 minutes, 49 seconds

Republicans controlled the White House and the House of Representatives and the Senate. So, you'd think it'd be easy for us to pass basic conservative

44:56

44 minutes, 56 seconds

legislation. No. The Safe Act uh defends voter ID. The Safe Act says you have to prove that you're eligible to vote if

45:05

45 minutes, 5 seconds

you want to vote. The vast majority of Americans support this. The vast majority of Democrats support voter ID.

45:12

45 minutes, 12 seconds

This is some of the most popular policy in the country and it will fail because

45:21

45 minutes, 21 seconds

the Republicans don't want to take it up. The Democrat politicians hate voter ID. Democrat voters love voter ID. Democrat politicians hate voter ID.

45:29

45 minutes, 29 seconds

Democrat politicians hate voter ID because voter ID prevents them from rigging elections. That simple as.

45:38

45 minutes, 38 seconds

But now you have the Senate majority leader who says, "Look, I don't I I can't I can't bring it because we don't have 60

45:46

45 minutes, 46 seconds

votes. We have a majority, but we don't have 60 votes." And so the only way to bring it is to either nuke the filibuster, which we don't want to do because it's a big part of the Senate,

45:53

45 minutes, 53 seconds

or we could have a talking filibuster,

45:55

45 minutes, 55 seconds

but then the Democrats could offer all sorts of amendments to the bill. And some of the amendments might be slightly popular, and then they're going to bog down this bill, and there's going to be all sorts of terrible stuff in it. So it

46:04

46 minutes, 4 seconds

could kill the bill that way, and either way, it's going to bog the Senate down for months. And I get the arguments,

46:10

46 minutes, 10 seconds

but you got to put your p your yourself in the shoes of the voters. The voters say, "Look, we elected Republicans to

46:16

46 minutes, 16 seconds

everything in 2024. We elected Dem Republicans to everything in in 2024 for a few reasons. For mass deportations,

46:27

46 minutes, 27 seconds

for the economy,

46:30

46 minutes, 30 seconds

but for a renewed sense of government. the the Democrats were so manifestally corrupt. A lot of people had questions

46:39

46 minutes, 39 seconds

about the 2020 election and they proved those suspicions in 2024 when they elected Trump with the popular vote. And then they're going to look at this and

46:47

46 minutes, 47 seconds

they're going to say, "Republicans can't even pass legislation that is uh that is approved by the overwhelming majority of

46:55

46 minutes, 55 seconds

both parties. What? Why? Why can't they listen to Chuck Schumer? Just listen to what Chuck Schumer has to say about the Save Act.

47:05

47 minutes, 5 seconds

Yes, but their bill isn't voter ID.

47:07

47 minutes, 7 seconds

Number one, it is about voter registration. It makes it it allows ICE

47:15

47 minutes, 15 seconds

to kick tens of millions of people off the rolls, off the rolls, and they don't tell them until election day. And you

47:24

47 minutes, 24 seconds

show up and you say, "You're not registered anymore. You're not registered here. you're not on the rolls.

47:31

47 minutes, 31 seconds

What an odd thing to say.

47:34

47 minutes, 34 seconds

What Why would voter ID legislation permit ICE to kick all these people off

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47 minutes, 42 seconds

the voter roles? Was that a little Freudian slip? Was slick little Chuck Schumer losing his touch here? The

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Republicans say, "We need the Save America Act in order to stop illegals from voting." The Democrats previously

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said, "I illegals do not vote." Now, of course, we've caught illegals voting many, many times. We've caught illegals voting for themselves to win public office multiple times,

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just last year.

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But now, Chuck Schumer is saying, "We can't have the Save America Act because then ICE would kick millions of people off the voter roles." What an odd thing to say. Almost as if Republicans were

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right all along. There is a reason why the overwhelming majority of voters in both parties support voter ID. And the only people who don't support are the crook Democrat politicians who rely on

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illegals to elect them. You know, the story I want to get to is one of my top stories of the day. It's this viral column. It's my lead story. My this

Chapter 11: The Cut: I Regret Having Kids

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viral col. Okay. Well, I have to get to it. I It's my lead. Look, I don't care that I'm running late. Deal with it.

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Deal with it. Daily Wire producers, we have to get to it. This really I'll get to it quickly, though. Very stupid

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column. I regret having children. It's in the cut by New York magazine. and it was going bonkers.

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Here is just the pitch of it right at the top. Sooner or later, everyone has to decide whether to give up lazy weekends, disposable income, and overall peace of mind to have a baby instead.

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For many of those on the fence, one anxiety looms large. What if I make the wrong choice? Parent regret is more common than you might think. The Reddit

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page, the are regretful parents subreddit alone gets around 70,000 weekly visitors who anonymously

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commiserate. though stigma makes it hard to admit in real life. Below, three moms of young children talk about why they wish they could go back to their old lives.

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First off, off the top, turning to Reddit to find samples of well-balanced,

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mentally stable people is like going to visit the Pygmies to put together a basketball team. You are setting yourself up for failure right off the top.

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But maybe there are some people who regret having kids. And they found what,

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three people to be interviewed for this article. The 34year-old Rhode Island mother of a six-year-old and a three-year-old. I gave up everything I

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liked about my life to make children fit into it.

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When my husband and I were dating, his dealbreaker was having kids. I didn't feel the same way, but I didn't see life without children as an option.

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The whole point of the whole point of marriage is to have children. Some people don't get to have children.

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Infertility is a cross that some people bear. It's a fallen world.

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But the purpose of marriage is the procreation and education of children. A

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good of marriage is the mutual support of the spouses. That's great. That's wonderful, too. But the point, the t-

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loss of marriage is having kids. She says, "Yeah, it's weird. My husband said that the only reason he would want to get married is to have kids. Isn't that so weird?"

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I remember telling my husband, "I'm worried. I love our life now and I'm not sure what it's going to look like with the child. He told me it's going to get better. I was the executive of a

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nonprofit which was a stressful but fulfilling job. I was worried about my career but I thought there are working moms everywhere. People do this. Then I

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had my first baby. Okay, so right off the bat I'm not going to get through. I mean some of these get really dark but right off the bat this woman says look I

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was worried because I liked my life and I feared what would happen if I did the next thing in life. This reminds me of CS Lewis. I forget which book it was.

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You know, he has so many great ones. But in it, he said that a child loves chocolate and thinks chocolate is the

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greatest thing in the world. And if you were to tell this child, you know, there are there are actually even better things in the world. There are even,

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let's say it's like a teenager or something, you know, not to make it creepy. I forget CS Lewis's exact wording. If you said, you know, look,

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chocolate's great, but you know, there's actually this thing called sex, and it's even better than chocolate. In the mind of the child, the child couldn't fathom

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that. And the child would would actually follow it up and say, "Well, does sex involve chocolate?" Because [laughter]

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if it's the greatest thing, it must involve chocolate. And it's really, you just can't make the child understand. He just has to grow up and then he'll understand it. That's like this woman.

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She said, "The greatest thing in life is going to brunch, sleeping in, going to brunch on Saturdays, getting a little

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too drunk, you know, wasting the rest of the day,

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eating takeout, and going to bed. That's just the best thing in life." And you say, "You know, there's actually something better.

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There's something better called having children, having a family, growing a family." And she would say, "Well, does that involve getting too drunk at brunch?" It must, cuz that's the

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greatest thing in life. That's the greatest thing in life. this woman, she says, 'You know, I was running I was the executive of a nonprofit, a stressful but fulfilling job. And that's the

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greatest thing in the world is is being the stressed out executive of a nonprofit. You say, actually, there's something better in life. There is

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something better having kids, having a family. You say, "