Dave Smith and Ian Carroll Break Down Charlie Kirk Assassination Theories and Israel Connections

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Dave Smith and Ian Carroll Break Down Charlie Kirk Assassination Theories and Israel Connections

Dave Smith and Ian Carroll join Clint Russell for an uncensored conversation about the Charlie Kirk assassination, questioning the official narrative and examining potential Israeli involvement. They discuss Josh Hammer's suspicious role as a supposed handler, the timing of Kirk's reported shift away from pro-Israel positions, and why so many establishment figures have avoided asking obvious questions. Smith shares personal text exchanges with Kirk, reveals what Candace Owens told him privately, and explores whether Kirk was intentionally fed to the wolves during their debate. The conversation expands into broader patterns of political assassinations, the power structure behind conservative media, and why certain personalities get platforms despite having no organic audience.

November 6, 2025

The Suspicious Role of Josh Hammer

The conversation begins with examining Josh Hammer's relationship with Charlie Kirk. Dave Smith reveals the backstory of his debate with Hammer at the Turning Point USA Student Action Summit, explaining that Hammer was actually his fourth choice as an opponent. Smith initially suggested Dave Rubin, who apparently never responded, then Tim Kennedy who couldn't make it for scheduling reasons, before finally agreeing to debate Hammer at Charlie's insistence.

Smith makes a compelling point about the strangeness of Hammer's advisory role: "Does it make any sense at all that Charlie was going to Josh for talking points and messaging? No. I mean, come on. Like objectively speaking, no. Charlie was much better at that than Josh Hammer is." The panel discusses how Hammer appears to be a handler rather than someone Kirk would have organically chosen as an adviser, given Kirk's superior abilities as an orator and strategist.

Ian Carroll highlights the anomaly of Hammer's media presence despite having virtually no organic audience. Despite being a regular guest on major conservative shows like Megyn Kelly, Glenn Beck, and Charlie Kirk's own program, Hammer's personal podcast has negligible viewership. Carroll notes having several times more followers and reviews despite never appearing on those major platforms, raising questions about why establishment figures repeatedly platform someone with no demonstrated audience appeal.

Charlie Kirk's Evolution on Israel

Smith describes Kirk as being "between a rock and hard place" as "the entire youth are turning against Israel and his job is to be the Christian Zionist guy." He recounts Kirk reaching out after the Joe Rogan debate with Douglas Murray, texting that he agreed with Smith more than he disagreed and proposing a respectful conversation to work through the Israel issue together.

The conversation turns to reports that Kirk feared for his life over his changing stance on Israel. Smith references Harrison Smith from Infowars claiming Kirk feared Israel would kill him if he came out against them, and Candace Owens confirming three different people close to Charlie told her the same thing, with two having it in writing. Smith states he trusts Candace wouldn't lie about her friend like that. Max Blumenthal and The Grayzone also reported similar information from sources, though it's unclear if they're the same sources.

Smith shares personal observations: "Every time I was talking to Candace about this, this is before I kind of became friends with Charlie, I was like what's up? And she's like, he's the greatest guy ever. She had never had a bad thing to say about him. She loved him. And that's real. And I think it's something you could see in Candace's coverage of this is that she's like... you're watching a pitbull who's just fearless get a hold of something, but the thing that's been crazy about her coverage of Charlie is that you could tell she's also in deep grief. Like a real I just lost my brother type of grief."

The Debate and What Followed

Discussing the Student Action Summit debate, Smith describes how it seemed like Charlie was "feeding his boy to the wolves" by having him debate Hammer. The panel examines whether this was Kirk's way of standing up to his donors by platforming Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, and Smith himself, then essentially sacrificing Hammer to demonstrate his independence.

Russell frames it as Kirk making a choice between appeasing donors or the audience: "At the penultimate event for TPUSA of this past summer, you have this opportunity to either go along with what your donors want or go along with what the audience wants, which is to have Dave Smith and Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly, or you can get rid of all those people, appease your donors and make peace with the world. He goes the opposite direction. He brings on all the people and he tells Tucker Carlson, 'Take the gloves off. Say whatever you want.'"

The conversation explores Hammer's behavior after Kirk's death, particularly his appearances where he lied about Kirk's mindset and tried to deflect from the obvious motive regarding Israel. Smith notes: "The clear thing that Josh Hammer did was that he was rushing with his first and foremost priority to protect Israel and then to promote himself. The thing was to go like, 'Oh, it's ridiculous. It's an anti-semitic conspiracy theory to think that Charlie Kirk was turning on Israel.'"

The Broader Context of Political Assassinations

Carroll argues that high-level political assassinations are more likely to involve intelligence agencies than lone actors: "When I look at a high-level political assassination, kind of at the caliber of a JFK, maybe a little below, but certainly not a lot of comparable assassinations, in my mind, the chances of that being a lone nut versus an intelligence agency, it is already more likely that it's an intelligence agency without knowing anything else about it."

The panel discusses how the narrative is always "lone nut" initially, but the conclusion almost always points to intelligence agency involvement. They reference JFK, RFK, MLK, and Fred Hampton as examples. Carroll notes these all happened pre-internet when it was even easier to control narratives, yet they still got caught.

Smith makes a distinction between levels of evidence, using detective work as an analogy: "There's like many different layers. There's raising an eyebrow, there's we'd like to ask you some questions downtown, there's person of interest, there's suspect, there's prime suspect, then there's indictment and arrest, then there's convicted beyond reasonable doubt. Sometimes when people are building these theories, it's almost like if you go, 'Well, there's this thing here that would make you raise your eyebrow,' people will act like that is you were just convicted in a court of law."

The Response from Turning Point USA and Others

The panel expresses frustration with how Kirk's supposed friends and colleagues have responded. Ian Carroll notes: "I saw a guy that I kind of knew a little bit, basically a colleague of ours in this world, get clapped for no reason. And he seems to be a really good guy and a family man. And no one gives a shit. The public doesn't care. Nobody cares. It's like, why do I care more than all of his friends? This is crazy."

They discuss how figures like Tim Pool have contaminated the narrative by repeatedly stating "I saw a leftist shoot and kill Charlie Kirk" without evidence, while simultaneously claiming any speculation about other motives would contaminate the crime scene and trial. Carroll sarcastically asks: "Did you ever leave the intelligence agency that you used to work for? Because this is weird, dude."

The conversation also covers how establishment figures have abandoned Candace Owens, with one Turning Point board member falsely claiming on Patrick Bet-David's show that Candace "hasn't been there for years and years" when she was actually there recently and Kirk was reportedly planning to invite her back.

The Power Structure Behind Conservative Media

Smith provides context about Kirk's rise, noting he "blew up younger in life than any of us ever did" with significant funding from billionaire backers. He uses a wrestling analogy about Bret Hart and the Montreal Screwjob: "If billionaires are going to put you into prominence, they're also going to put the people around you who they think ought to be the people."

The discussion explores how Kirk signed onto this system at age 19 when Bill Montgomery in his 70s recruited him, with an apparatus of 501c3s and 501c4s springing up around him. Russell notes: "Show me a 19-year-old kid that understands the implications of that, of what that agreement is going to come down the line."

Smith describes Kirk's unique drive and talent, comparing him to Vivek Ramaswamy as someone who at 18 was "already 50" - wearing suits, completely driven and professional. He contrasts this with most content creators who lack that conquer-the-world energy, noting that funders look for these rare individuals but also maintain control over them.

The Israel Lobby and Neoconservative Power

The conversation expands into how the Israel lobby operates within American power structures. Smith references a quote (possibly from Soberan): "The best way to understand the neoconservatives is the Israel lobby's marriage with the military-industrial complex." He explains how this marriage gave neoconservatives unprecedented influence.

Carroll argues that bankers sit above both, with the military-industrial complex and Israel lobby ultimately answering to financial powers. The panel discusses how different factions compete for influence, with Smith noting that neoconservatives were "their own gang" that was "an offshoot of the Likud party" - the American vanguard of that faction.

They reference Whitney Webb's book "One Nation Under Blackmail" and how it documents patterns of organized crime and intelligence operations creating mutually reinforcing power structures. Smith notes: "The Israelis, the Zionists, do it better than anybody I've ever seen in my life."

The Nick Fuentes Question

The stream begins with Russell mentioning he invited Nick Fuentes to potentially join, calling it the "four horsemen of the woke right apocalypse." Smith jokes about Fuentes potentially showing up "stone cold" at any moment. They note Fuentes hasn't responded and probably won't show up.

Later, Smith references his temporary ceasefire with Fuentes, joking it's "holding on by a thread" but "doing better than the actual ceasefire" in that "no one's been killed on either side." He recounts Fuentes criticizing him for saying Israel is "in a lot of ways the satellite of the US empire," acknowledging he probably didn't phrase that correctly given how much he's talked about Israeli influence on American government.

The panel discusses the difference between Fuentes and Kirk's operations, with Smith noting that while Fuentes "actually built this" organically without billionaire backing, Kirk was operating at a completely different scale with 50,000-60,000 people at events, comparable only to mega churches, mega Zionist conferences, or Trump rallies.

Reflections on Evidence and Speculation

Smith praises Carroll's historical approach to conspiracy analysis, noting he always appreciated that Carroll "didn't have the fake certainty that Alex Jones always had." He describes Carroll's method of presenting declassified documents and asking "Isn't that interesting?" rather than claiming absolute certainty whether right or wrong.

The panel works to distinguish between different levels of evidence and suspicion. Smith states that Hammer's lying and the reports of Kirk fearing for his life would be "enough for me to go, we want to ask this guy some questions," making Israel a "person of interest" but not yet a suspect.

Russell acknowledges his initial tweet was "spicy" and somewhat intentional, explaining: "I knew that all of you guys that were closer to the matter needed to and were right to be more careful about your words. I knew that Tucker, for example, wasn't going to come out firing. But I knew that we were going to get massive Israeli propaganda. At a certain point I am always willing to get into the mud and fight in the mud."

The Bigger Picture

Smith concludes with broader observations about the current political moment: "Donald Trump came in with the greatest opportunity in the history of the world a year ago and right now there's a communist mayor in New York City. The Democrats have had a good night. The Republicans are having a civil war and it's all over the goddamn Israel issue."

The conversation reflects on how COVID-19 represented "the largest transfer of wealth in human history" yet "no one even gives a shit," with Carroll noting his entire show is named after lockdowns yet people have completely moved on. This leads to discussion about how even with the internet, powerful interests still manage narratives effectively.

Throughout, the panel maintains that while they're building a case and asking questions, they're careful to distinguish between what's proven, what's suspicious, and what's merely weird. As Smith puts it: "We can't just go, 'Hey, this is weird and this is weird.' We got to go, 'Okay, let's really look clearly.' There's one element to this that's just undeniable: Charlie was going through a profound thing over this Israel question."

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