Charlie Kirk and Michael Knowles Explain Why Trump's Success With Millennials Mirrors Reagan's 1984 Youth Surge
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Charlie Kirk and Michael Knowles Explain Why Trump's Success With Millennials Mirrors Reagan's 1984 Youth Surge
Charlie Kirk and Michael Knowles make the case that President Trump's early successes are creating a political realignment among young voters similar to what Ronald Reagan achieved in 1984. With diplomatic wins, a strong economy, and cultural shifts led by figures like Kanye West and Chance the Rapper, they argue conservatives are winning the culture war in unexpected ways. Kirk emphasizes that young people voting Democrat is counterintuitive given policies that would hurt their generation most, while Knowles points out that Trump's focus on economic results over divisive social issues is key to expanding his appeal. Both dismiss concerns that younger conservatives abandoning traditional cultural battles means abandoning values, insisting instead that victory looks different than expected.
Michael Knowles agreed with Charlie Kirk's assessment that recent polling trends represent a bigger problem for Democrats than Republicans. Knowles emphasized there is no substitute for success and warned conservatives against snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, pointing to what he considers a successful presidency thus far.
President Trump performed better among Millennials relative to his opponent than either John McCain or Mitt Romney, according to the discussion. Trump also did relatively well and better than Romney among Hispanics, a population that has increased by two to three times in recent decades and skews overwhelmingly young and Millennial.
The Reagan 1984 Parallel
Knowles drew a comparison to Ronald Reagan's 1984 campaign, when Reagan's support among young voters surged by nearly 40 percent because his presidency was successful. He pointed to several recent achievements as evidence of similar momentum: excellent diplomacy in North Korea, a good economy, returned hostages, and what he called the Kanye Awakening in public and popular culture.
Knowles predicted that if things continue on the current trajectory, there could be a repeat of 1984 in the November 2020 election, with the only poll that matters being the one on election day.
Young Conservatives and Fiscal Priorities
Charlie Kirk referenced something Ben Shapiro wrote about young conservatives tending toward libertarianism on issues like drugs and sex, while sharing the same priorities as older conservatives on fiscal and economic issues. Kirk noted that Vice President Pence alluded to this in a commencement address, emphasizing that Donald Trump is getting results on the economy and that matters to young people.
Kirk gave credit to President Trump for focusing more on foreign policy and economic matters while de-emphasizing some of the more controversial and divisive social issues. He believes this approach is one of the reasons Trump will continue to do well with all voters, but especially young voters heading into 2020.
Why Young People Voting Democrat Hurts Their Own Interests
Kirk made a pointed comparison, joking that a young person voting for a Democrat is like a chicken voting for Colonel Sanders. He argued that Democrats want to raise taxes, limit freedom, and pursue policies that will hurt young people's generation the most.
He emphasized that young people are disengaging from right versus left labels and Democrat versus Republican designations. However, he noted that Democrats need younger voters as one of the three groups they primarily need for base turnout, meaning every ounce of support they lose hurts them significantly more than Republicans.
Addressing Concerns About Traditional Values
When asked whether older conservatives might be upset if younger conservatives focus on the economy rather than issues like same-sex marriage, pulling back from traditional values, Knowles invoked Andrew Breitbart's famous saying that politics is downstream of culture.
Knowles argued that conservatives are winning the cultural war, though some conservatives are missing it because they expected young conservatives to start listening to Brahms and Haydn and drinking sherry in tweed suits. That isn't what winning the culture looks like, he explained.
What Winning the Culture War Actually Looks Like
According to Knowles, winning the culture looks like Chance the Rapper tweeting that black people don't need to vote for Democrats and Kanye West saying he likes this conservative Republican president. He reiterated that while politics is downstream of culture, conservatives are winning that cultural battle in ways that differ from traditional expectations.