Dave Smith and Candace Owens Discuss the Charlie Kirk Assassination Investigation and the Israel Lobby's Influence

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Dave Smith and Candace Owens Discuss the Charlie Kirk Assassination Investigation and the Israel Lobby's Influence

Dave Smith sits down with Candace Owens to discuss her debate with Andrew Wilson over the Charlie Kirk assassination investigation. They explore the suppressed foreign ties investigation, the transformation of Turning Point USA, and how the Israel lobby attempted to use Kirk's death to rally support while lying about key evidence. Candace reveals new details about text messages, the organization's betrayal of Charlie's vision, and why telling the truth has become the most powerful position in American politics.

Categories: Analysis
August 19, 2026

The Debate Performance and Andrew Wilson's Preparation

Candace Owens reflects on her debate with Andrew Wilson, explaining that she felt confident going in because she could tell from his demeanor that his strategy would be to attack her personally rather than focus on the evidence. She had pushed for the debate to happen quickly because she knew Wilson didn't genuinely care about the case - he had been criticizing Turning Point USA and Erika Kirk until May, then suddenly appeared at their headquarters acting supportive.

Owens recognized that Wilson hadn't actually watched the preliminary hearing or understood Utah's Rule 1102, which allows hearsay at that stage. When Wilson claimed there was "overwhelming evidence" but then admitted he was only 75% certain, Owens saw this as a critical concession that undermined his entire position.

The Standard of Evidence and Burden of Proof

Dave Smith points out that once Andrew Wilson said he was only 75% certain, that essentially ended the debate. If there's 25% uncertainty, that gives people license to pursue other theories. Smith emphasizes that there's a difference between the standard required to imprison someone (beyond a reasonable doubt) and the standard for citizens to freely speculate about major events.

Owens pressed Wilson on his claim of "overwhelming evidence," particularly regarding photographic evidence that couldn't clearly identify Tyler Robinson and DNA evidence that was degraded. Wilson had no substantive response to these challenges, instead trying to pivot away from discussing evidence to questioning Owens about her statements regarding Erika Kirk.

The Suppressed Foreign Investigation

Smith emphasizes that Joe Kent, the former director of counterterrorism, publicly stated on Tucker Carlson that the investigation into foreign ties was suppressed. Kent had resigned over the Iran war and immediately spoke about how Charlie Kirk had been "screaming in the West Wing" about not going to war with Iran, then was publicly executed, and the investigation into foreign data points was blocked.

Owens argues this alone gives American citizens license to investigate and speculate. She points out that she reported information from military sources about potential foreign involvement, but the military wouldn't confirm or deny. The burden should be on government agencies like Tulsi Gabbard's office to investigate, not on private citizens.

The Text Message Revelation

A major moment in Smith's analysis came when Andrew Wilson produced a text message during the debate that Turning Point USA had apparently given him. This was shocking because Erika Kirk had previously gone on Glenn Beck's show and stated that text messages Owens referenced didn't exist. When Owens confronted her, Kirk claimed the messages were on Signal and had been automatically deleted.

Owens explains the contradiction: if the messages were on Signal and automatically deleted, how does Andrew Wilson have them months later? She had actually told her audience the messages were on iMessage to Dan Flood, not Signal. The fact that Turning Point held this "relevant information" for a year while attacking Owens, only to give it to Wilson for a debate victory, makes the organization look extremely suspicious.

The Transformation of Turning Point USA

Smith and Owens discuss how Charlie Kirk's death has resulted in a transformation of Turning Point USA into something very different from his vision. Charlie had explicitly promised he would continue inviting Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, and Smith himself. He had told Smith they would do lots more together. Charlie had said Thomas Massie was his favorite congressman and had been a Ron Paul supporter.

After his death, Turning Point didn't defend Massie when the Israel lobby removed him from office. Tucker, Owens, and likely Smith are no longer invited to events. At the first major event after Charlie's death, Erika Kirk had Ben Shapiro open after her - despite the fact that Charlie deeply disliked Shapiro and considered him a "snake" who "operated behind the scenes."

Owens reveals she has extensive text messages documenting Charlie's negative views of Shapiro over many years, right up until his death. Even Shapiro himself came out to correct Andrew Kolvet's lie that Charlie and Shapiro weren't friends - because Owens was about to release evidence of Charlie's true feelings.

The Missing Motive

Owens points out that the alleged political motive for the assassination has been debunked by the very testimony the state is relying on. Lance, Tyler Robinson's boyfriend, testified under immunity that they never discussed politics, never discussed LGBTQ issues, and Tyler never mentioned Charlie Kirk. This completely destroys the narrative that this was a politically motivated assassination by a trans activist.

With that motive gone, Owens argues other potential motives should be explored: Charlie's scheduled will change three days after his death, his desire to look into Turning Point's finances, the pressure from Israel-focused donors, and the fact that 80% of murders are committed by someone the victim knows. In a normal investigation, these would all be examined, but instead they're dismissed as conspiracy theories.

The Lies in the Aftermath

Both Smith and Owens emphasize how many people lied in the immediate aftermath of the assassination during an open murder investigation. There was the false narrative about Charlie's relationship with Israel, including an AI-generated photo of him hugging an Israeli flag posted the day he died. Benjamin Netanyahu issued a statement saying "I didn't do it" within 48 hours when no one had directly accused him.

Erika Kirk went on what Owens describes as a "Shabbat Shalom tour" with Bari Weiss, trying to establish that Charlie loved Israel. All of this happened while they were lying about the existence of the text messages where Charlie expressed fear about the Israel lobby the night before his death.

The Debate Strategy and Andrew Wilson's Failure

Owens explains that Wilson wanted to move away from discussing actual evidence - the screwdriver, the towel, the degraded DNA, the inability to connect the gun to Charlie's body. Instead, he tried to depose her about obscure clips regarding Erika Kirk, which had nothing to do with their debate claims.

She emphasizes there was no contract allowing him to depose her - they were there to debate their claims about the evidence. Wilson had claimed there was "overwhelming evidence" that Tyler Robinson killed Charlie Kirk, while Owens had said (somewhat tongue-in-cheek, which she allowed to stand) that there was just as much evidence it could be a psyop.

The Photographic and DNA Evidence

Owens challenged Wilson's tweet claiming there was photographic and DNA evidence. The photographic evidence shows a blurry image where you cannot clearly identify Tyler Robinson - Owens joked it could be Dave Smith for all anyone knows. Wilson tried to say this was "supported by context," but Owens insisted that if you can't see it's him, then it's not photographic evidence of him being there.

Regarding the DNA evidence, the gun had dust and debris on it, with Tyler Robinson's prints being the most degraded among four or five sets of prints. This suggests someone else handled the gun last. Wilson simply responded "so what?" when challenged on this, showing he had no answer for why degraded DNA should be considered overwhelming evidence.

The Probative Hearing Standard

Owens explains that Wilson didn't understand that at the probative hearing stage in Utah, the standard is very different from a trial. Prosecutors can look at evidence and make inferences - essentially doing what Owens does on her podcast. They said someone in a maroon shirt looked like Tyler Robinson because both wore Converse sneakers. They couldn't even connect the person in the maroon shirt to the person in the black shirt.

The lead investigator's testimony that these were the same person based on similar shoes would be laughed out of most investigations. Yet Wilson accepted this as "overwhelming evidence" while calling Owens's interpretation of the same evidence a "conspiracy theory." The only difference was that one came from a prosecutor and one came from an independent journalist.

The Israel Lobby Connection

Smith and Owens discuss how Charlie was being pressured by Israel-focused donors, the top Zionist donors to Turning Point USA. They were threatening to pull funding because of his stance against the Iran war. Charlie was giving them "the finger" and standing his ground. This provides a clear motive that Smith argues should have been explored.

The fact that all these people lied about Charlie's relationship with Israel makes them look even more suspicious. If there was nothing to hide, they could have said, "Yes, we were pressuring him, but we had nothing to do with his death and actually feel bad about it." Instead, they came out with the AI flag photo and Erika's media tour.

Joe Kent and the Counterterrorism Investigation

Smith reveals he had received intelligence 48 hours before Joe Kent resigned that Charlie Kirk information was going to be all over Kent's resignation letter. While less appeared in the actual letter than expected, Kent's first interview on Tucker Carlson was all about it. Kent stated that Charlie had been screaming in the West Wing about stopping the war with Iran, was then publicly executed, and the investigation into foreign involvement was suppressed.

Owens points out that Turning Point USA, including Erika, attacked Joe Kent for coming forward with this information. This is backwards - Kent should have been their natural ally. The fact that they attacked someone saying the investigation was suppressed makes people think the organization has something to hide.

The French Military Connection

When Wilson pressed Owens on her claims about French military involvement, she explained this came from a military source. She did everything right by reporting it. She even called the military to try to confirm whether people were on the ground that day, but they wouldn't respond. This would be the job of intelligence agencies to investigate, not private citizens.

Owens argues that if the government is actually involved in the assassination, they're not going to want citizens to have evidence. She draws a parallel to the JFK assassination - where is the hard evidence there? Citizens are limited in their ability to investigate, but they can point out strange anomalies and clock the lies, which is what she's been doing.

The Iran School Bombing

Smith and Owens discuss the bombing of an Iranian girls' school with a Tomahawk missile. Even after it was confirmed to be a Tomahawk, Donald Trump was saying it could have been from anybody. Smith points out that only a handful of countries have Tomahawk missiles, and the Israelis don't even have them.

Pete Hegseth looked extremely uncomfortable when Trump asked him about it because, unlike Trump, Hegseth knows what a Tomahawk missile is. The suggestion that France smuggled a Tomahawk to Iran so they could bomb their own girls' school was absurd. Owens emphasizes that they murdered schoolgirls and won't even take responsibility or apologize for the "mistake."

Putin's Communication Style Versus Trump's

Owens shares insights from her trip to Russia, where she attended the speed forum (described as "Davos of the East") and heard Putin speak. She was struck by how much time Putin takes to articulate why Russia is doing something, whether in the Ukraine situation or other policies. He sat for three hours taking questions, explaining and justifying Russian actions.

In contrast, Trump offers no explanation for the Iran war. No articulation of how America will get out of it. Just "bomb, bomb, bomb Iran" memes online. Owens sees this as fundamental disrespect for the American people - not even bothering to lie convincingly or sit down to answer questions for hours like Putin does.

Understanding Ancient Civilizations and War

Owens shares a profound insight from interviewing a Russian director who explained that Americans don't understand what ancestry means to people from ancient civilizations. When Americans come with deals, Russians aren't interested in deals - their ancestors were there thousands of years ago. They'd rather die than betray that heritage.

She connects this to Persia (Iran), explaining why Afghanistan is called the "graveyard of empires." The U.S., as a 200-year-old country, can't comprehend the deeper, spiritual drive of people who have lived through thousands of years of history. The idea that Persia could be taken in two weeks shows complete ignorance of this reality.

Owens describes how Iranians stood outside infrastructure sites willing to die rather than surrender when the U.S. threatened to bomb them. She asks if Americans could imagine doing the same thing. This fundamental difference in what people are fighting for makes the war unwinnable.

The Two Weeks to Flatten the Curve Parallel

Smith draws a connection between Trump falling for "two weeks to flatten the curve" during COVID and "two weeks to flatten Iran." Trump was president during the original COVID "two weeks" and fell for essentially the same lie in both his first and second terms - just different versions.

The presentation of the Iran war as something that could be won in two weeks with just an air assault shows either stunning stupidity or stunning dishonesty from the administration. Anyone with middle school-level foreign policy knowledge would know this is absurd. Trump should have said "you're fired" to whoever pitched this idea.

The Drone Revolution and Future Warfare

Smith reflects on how 20 years ago, the U.S. was the only country with predator drones for targeted killings. Now cheap $20,000 drones are everywhere, playing huge roles in the Ukrainian war and the Iran conflict. In ten years, these might be produced for a few hundred dollars.

This means any Persian insurgency could keep the strait closed indefinitely. Even if there was regime change, a few hundred thousand men with a few hundred thousand dollars in budget could attack ships and drive insurance prices up. The whole war is completely unwinnable - an absolute disaster that shows no understanding of modern asymmetrical warfare.

The American Revolution Lesson

Smith points out the irony that America was literally founded on a war against the most powerful military in the world using asymmetrical warfare and insurgency tactics. The Founding Fathers understood that someone defending their home has massive advantages - they're the most motivated fighters, they know the terrain, they have nowhere to retreat to.

Americans have also not experienced the level of collective suffering that countries like Russia and Iran have been through. Russia collapsed twice in the 20th century, was invaded twice, lost tens of millions. Iran's war with Iraq in the 1980s killed hundreds of thousands. These are war-torn populations used to suffering much more than Americans can comprehend.

The Credibility Earned Through Truth-Telling

Smith argues that what's really happened is that people who opposed the Gaza genocide earned massive credibility with their audiences. This wasn't about "milking conspiracies" for money - Owens would have had a huge audience regardless. She gained three million YouTube subscribers in the first day or two after leaving the DailyWire+.

The comparison Smith makes is to LeBron James playing for the Lakers - yes, he makes money there, but he would make a lot of money on any team because he's LeBron James. Similarly, Owens had already built massive credibility, and her audience followed her when she pursued the Charlie Kirk investigation because they trusted her.

The Collapse of the Trump Coalition

Smith reflects on how the Donald Trump coalition has been destroyed over the last year, which would have broken Charlie Kirk's heart more than anything. Charlie worked so hard to keep that winning 2024 coalition together. But because of what the administration has done - the Epstein files coverup, launching the Iran war - there was no way to hold it together.

The story shifted from "Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens don't matter" (when polls showed 99% of MAGA supported the war) to "it's all their fault the coalition broke up" a year later. But as Smith and Owens point out, no one wanted another war. No one wanted another war for Israel. Support for Israel has completely collapsed.

The Israel Lobby's Suspicious Behavior

Owens points out that it's particularly people who support Israel who want the investigation to be open and shut. She hasn't seen one person who's radically pro-Israel even concede the obvious anomalies in the case. They won't say "that is kind of weird" about Joe Kent being shut down from investigating foreign ties. Instead, they immediately attack Joe Kent.

If Owens were managing PR for Israel and they actually were guilty, she says she'd have her people lean into the obvious anomalies - say "yeah, that is weird, maybe it was Iran." But instead, everyone is completely anti-Joe Kent, which makes them look shady. The same with Turning Point USA's response - attacking the person who says the investigation was suppressed.

Erika Kirk's Behavior and the Organization's Betrayal

Owens expresses shock at how Erika Kirk has behaved, questioning what wife would act this way after her husband's assassination. You would hate your husband's enemies harder after he's killed. Yet Erika has reserved more hatred for Owens than for Tyler Robinson, whom she unblinkingly convicted by saying "I forgive you" before anything was proven.

She had no questions, told Bari Weiss she was certain. This was felt as weird by the public before Owens even turned her attention to it. People were observing this behavior and finding it suspicious. The fact that Turning Point takes positions Charlie would never have taken is a betrayal of his memory and vision.

The NBC Hit Piece and Brandy Zadrozny

Owens reveals that Erika Kirk sat down with Brandy Zadrozny from NBC for a hit piece on Owens. This is significant because Charlie Kirk hated Zadrozny - she did one of the first hit pieces on Owens and Charlie back in 2018. Zadrozny is not just an ally of transgenderism; she's extreme on it and believes children should be able to transition.

Erika sat down with this woman - someone her husband hated - who she believes represents the ideology of the "trans furry" who killed him, in order to write a hit piece on Owens. This shows Erika will partner with anyone when it comes to attacking Owens, which makes people extremely uncomfortable with her behavior.

The Admission in the NBC Piece

In the NBC hit piece, they basically admitted that Charlie Kirk's death was supposed to reunite an already fracturing Republican party. The party was fracturing over the Iran war and the Epstein files, but they say it could have been reunited "had it not been for Candace Owens."

Owens couldn't believe they put this in writing without realizing how it sounds. Charlie's death was supposed to make people forget about Trump looking the other way on pedophiles and Zionists involved in the Epstein files. Americans were supposed to forget their moral objections to covering up child abuse and instead focus on "left bad, trans bad." But people were moral enough to not let that happen.

Why Truth-Telling Now Pays

Owens argues that we've finally reached a point where it pays to tell the truth. In the pre-COVID world, this wasn't the case. She's actually happy COVID happened because it was an evil that fractured people's trust with mainstream media. People who listened to authorities, masked themselves, didn't speak to family members, took the vaccine - like Owens's own sister who wouldn't let her meet her baby - eventually realized they'd been lied to.

Audiences now recognize coordinated campaigns when everyone says the same thing - whether it's "wear a mask, save lives" or "the evidence is overwhelming that Tyler Robinson did this" or "honor the widow." They want something that actually makes sense. Their brains naturally want to believe something logical, not coordinated propaganda.

The Need for Humility and Passion

Owens emphasizes that going forward, people will need to not just tell the truth but exercise humility when they're wrong. She does this on her show constantly - when she's pursuing something and learns new information that contradicts it, she tells her audience. This demonstrates willingness to be wrong rather than being an expert who "Dr. Faucis" their way through everything.

She also stresses being passionate about what you speak about. People know she deeply cares about what happened to Charlie Kirk. There would be no Candace without Charlie - he trained her on debating, they traveled the world together, they came up in politics together. Her perspective shifted on Israel first, his shortly after, and they maintained their relationship throughout.

The Future of Non-Interventionist Politics

Smith predicts that going forward, non-interventionist, non-war hawk right-wingers will need people who have been against these wars from the beginning. He specifically mentions Tucker Carlson and Thomas Massie as people who could carry this movement forward. He doesn't see how anyone from the current Trump administration can do it, given their record.

The trend of truth-telling becoming more valuable will continue. People who have earned credibility by opposing obvious evils like the Gaza genocide will be the ones audiences trust going forward. The old model of mainstream media propaganda, even when employed by influencers, no longer works because audiences recognize coordinated talking points.

America Becoming More Cohesive

Despite everything that's happened, Owens believes America is actually becoming more cohesive in many ways. The left-right paradigm is fracturing, and there's a lot to be hopeful about. People across the political spectrum are recognizing common enemies and common interests that go beyond traditional partisan divides.

The awakening happening isn't because of any one person's influence - it's a mass movement. If someone like Owens or Tucker Carlson were taken out or compromised, their audiences wouldn't just start trusting CNN again. They'd recognize the person had been compromised and seek truth elsewhere. The audience is smarter than the manipulators think.

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